
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - APRIL 2025
2
Junior isles
The European Union has moved to ll
a funding gap in a climate nancing
programme set up to support the en-
ergy transition plans of various devel-
oping countries, following the with-
drawal of Donald Trump’s admin-
istration from the programme.
ast month, the US said it was with-
drawing from the ust Energy Transi-
tion Partnership (ETP), launched in
2021 to help South Africa, Indonesia
and ietnam switch from coal to re-
newable energy. The US, along with
the UK, France, Germany and the EU
pledged $45 billion to the initiative.
South Africa’s ETP unit, which sits
under the presidency, said the US with-
drawal reduced the overall pledges to
the country from $13.8 billion to $12.8
billion. The US had pledged $5 mil-
lion in grant funding, and $1 billion in
potential commercial investments.
Speaking to the Financial Times,
Dion George, South Africa’s Minister
of the Environment, sheries and for-
estry, said all the other countries remain
committed to the partnership. A new
commitment obtained from the EU will
ll part of the gap, he said. “The EU
committed 4.7 billion to South Africa
for a number of projects, and this in-
cludes for the just energy transition, so
this will help ll the gap.”
European Commission President Ur-
sula von der eyen said the 4.7 billion
($5.1 billion) would be used in part to
shore up the just energy transition proj-
ect and for green energy.
Referring to the US, von der Leyen
said: We know others are withdrawing
but the EU wants to be very clear with
our message: we are doubling down
with our support. We are here to stay.”
In a letter sent to South Africa’s gov-
ernment, seen by the FT, the former
US charg d’affaires Dana Brown said
Trump’s executive order, which calls
for putting America rst in interna-
tional deals, “revokes and rescinds the
US international climate nance plan
issued by the previous oe Biden
administration”.
Brown wrote, “effective immedi-
ately, the US is no longer a member of
the international partners group for the
just energy transition partnerships for
Indonesia, South Africa and ietnam”
and “all associated nancial pledges
are also withdrawn”.
Commenting on the US withdrawal
Shah ahan Khandokar, energy and
infrastructure partner at law rm Mc-
Dermott Will Emery, said: “Whilst
US withdrawal from various bilateral
and multilateral programmes may ini-
tially be seen as detrimental for vari-
ous renewable energy initiatives, the
US has made clear in recent days, most
notably during an African climate
summit in Washington DC on March
7th, that the US is still open for busi-
ness on the continent and elsewhere.
African leaders were told that US
withdrawal from such programmes is
not the same as US isolationism.
Rather, governments need to ensure
that if they would like US (private and
public sector) support, they need to
prioritise projects, be they renewable
or otherwise, that demonstrate a true
partnership with the US, rather than a
reliance on US subsidies.
“In the context of South Africa, In-
donesia, and Vietnam, those countries
themselves will need to ensure they
focus on moving away from coal (if
that is what they wish to do) and put in
place the correct incentives to induce
private sector to invest in renewable
and low-carbon technology projects.
Our experience (and specically
through working on various ETP proj-
ects) in those countries has shown they
are well placed and prepared to do so.”
Tracey Davies, Executive Director of
South African non-prot ust Share,
said that if anything, Washington’s de-
parture from the programme may be
positive for the energy partnership.
She told the FT: “If America had
stuck around and been obstructive, this
could have slowed things down further.
So in a sense, its absence could be
positive for climate nancing.”
Davies says the bigger risk may be at
a diplomatic level, where countries risk
compromising their climate goals to
appease the US.
The news came as Ministers from
Africa, Asia, Latin America and the
Caribbean, and the Pacic recommit-
ted to exploring collaborative oppor-
tunities to accelerate a just and equi-
table energy transition.
At two Ministerial gatherings at the
SEforA Global Forum in Barbados
last month, ministers from 28 countries
also spoke of advancing climate resil-
ience for populations in the Global
South.
“The two ministerials highlight the
importance of working together to
bridge energy access gaps, fostering
economic development, and ensuring
that the energy transitions in develop-
ing nations align with global climate
goals under the Paris Agreement,” said
Senator the Hon. Lisa Cummins, the
Chair of the SIDS Ministerial and Co-
Chair of the Global Ministerial, Min-
ister for Energy and Business for Bar-
bados. “We now need to move from
commitments to action, creating last-
ing change globally,”
data centres and articial intelli-
gence (AI).
The expanding supply of low-
emissions sources covered most of
the increase in global electricity
demand in 2024. The amount of
new renewable power capacity in-
stalled worldwide rose to around
700 GW, setting a new annual re-
cord for the 22nd consecutive year.
Nuclear power capacity additions
reached their fth highest level in
the past three decades.
As a result, 80 per cent of the in-
crease in global electricity genera-
tion in 2024 was provided by re-
newable sources and nuclear,
which together contributed 40 per
cent of total generation for the rst
time. The supply of natural gas-
red generation also increased
steadily to cover rising electricity
demand.
As a result of higher power con-
sumption, natural gas saw the
strongest increase in demand
among fossil fuels in 2024. Gas
demand rose by 115 billion cubic
metres (bcm), or 2.7 per cent, com-
pared with an average of around 75
bcm annually over the past decade.
Meanwhile, oil demand grew
more slowly, rising by 0.8 per cent
in 2024. Oil’s share of total energy
demand fell below 30 per cent for
the rst time ever, 50 years after it
peaked at 4 per cent. Sales of elec-
tric cars rose by over 25 per cent
last year, with electric models ac-
counting for one in ve cars sold
globally. This contributed consid-
erably to the decline in oil demand
for road transport, which offset a
signicant proportion of the rise in
oil consumption for aviation and
petrochemicals.
Global coal demand rose by 1 per
cent in 2024, half the rate of increase
seen the previous year. According
to the report, intense heatwaves in
China and India – which pushed up
cooling needs – contributed more
than 90 per cent of the total annual
increase in coal consumption glob-
ally, highlighting the major impacts
extreme weather can have on en-
ergy demand patterns.
The continued rapid adoption of
clean energy technologies limited
the annual rise in energy-related
carbon dioxide (CO
2
) emissions,
which are increasingly decoupling
from economic growth, according
to the report. Record temperatures
contributed signicantly to the an-
nual 0.8 per cent rise in global CO
2
emissions to 37.8 billion tonnes.
But the deployment of solar P,
wind, nuclear, electric cars and heat
pumps since 2019 now prevents
2. billion tonnes of CO
2
annually,
the equivalent of 7 per cent of
global emissions.
CO
2
emissions in advanced econ-
omies fell by 1.1 per cent to 10.9
billion tonnes in 2024 – a level last
seen 50 years ago, even though the
cumulative GDP of these countries
is now three times as large. The
majority of emissions growth in
2024 came from emerging and de-
veloping economies other than
China. Though emissions growth
in China slowed in 2024, the coun-
try’s per-capita emissions are now
1 per cent above those of ad-
vanced economies and nearly
twice the global average.
“From slowing global oil demand
growth and rising deployment of
electric cars to the rapidly expand-
ing role of electricity and the in-
creasing decoupling of emissions
from economic growth, many of
the key trends the IEA has identi-
ed ahead of the curve are showing
up clearly in the data for 2024,” Dr
Birol said.
Continued from Page 1
The EU’s recent package of green and
industrial policy announcements has
been viewed as sending mixed signals
about its dedication to climate policy.
In early March, Brussels outlined
proposals for a softer approach to po-
licing state subsidies as it unveiled
guidelines that will allow member
states to keep pouring cash into clean-
tech investments until the end of the
decade.
The new state aid framework is a
pillar of the EU’s Clean Industrial
Deal, unveiled in late February, which
attempts to balance the bloc’s climate
goals and efforts to improve its ag-
ging competitiveness.
To meet those goals, Brussels will
allow European countries to fund in-
vestments that cut emissions, such as
industrial decarbonisation projects
and renewable energy products. How-
ever, the subsidy limits for cleantech
manufacturing are lower than during
the pandemic and subsequent energy
crisis, according to the draft.
Teresa Ribera, the EU’s competition
chief who is responsible for oversee-
ing state aid enforcement, told the
Financial Times the rules attempted
to follow the “ne line” between “a
story of growth and protection of con-
sumers and at the same time a well-
functioning, transparent and balanced
single market”.
The guidelines come against a back-
drop of rising global temperatures.
Last month, UN research that found
2024 was likely to have been the hot-
test year on record and the rst to
surpass 1.5C above pre-industrial
levels. The concentration of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere is now at
its highest point in 800 000 years, ac-
cording to the UN.
In an annual assessment of the cli-
mate, the UN’s World Meteorological
Organization said the global average
surface temperature was 1.55C
above the 1850-1900 level, with a
0.13C margin of uncertainty either
way – making last year the warmest
in a 175-year observational record,
according to the research, which
draws together data from member
countries and partner agencies.
“Our planet is issuing more distress
signals,” said UN Secretary-General
Antnio Guterres, urging world lead-
ers to step up climate action.
Faith in the nascent hydrogen economy
appears to be faltering, as some com-
panies re-assess their commitment to
rolling out the technology.
Hydrogen, which emits no carbon
dioxide during combustion, has been
identied as having a key role in de-
carbonisation, but there are now signs
the technology is facing headwinds.
Australia’s ueensland state govern-
ment last month said it rejected a re-
quest from a state-owned electric
power company for more than A$1
billion ($30 million) of additional
investment in a hydrogen project in the
eastern Australian state. apanese trad-
ing company Marubeni Corp. is also
involved in the project.
David anetzki, ueensland’s Ener-
gy Minister, told the local media that
the investment in the project is not in
line with expectations of providing
sustainable and affordable electricity
to residents.
The project involves producing and
using green hydrogen, produced from
renewable energy, in ueensland as
well as a plan to export some to apan.
Total plant construction costs are esti-
mated to be A$12.4 billion.
Since Kansai Electric Power Co.,
which was to be a recipient of the hy-
drogen, has already decided to with-
draw from the project, it is possible the
project itself will be halted.
The Australian government has been
focusing on the promotion of the hy-
drogen industry, taking advantage of
the country’s solar potential.
There were signs that European rms
are also growing hesitant to proceed
with hydrogen projects. Finnish energy
giant Neste Corp. and Spanish oil giant
Repsol SA have already decided to
freeze or withdraw their hydrogen
business plans.
The International Energy Agency
said that demand for clean hydrogen,
which was up to 1 million tons in 2023,
may expand to at least million tons
in 2030. According to the British re-
search rm Wood Mackenzie td.,
however, the global contracted vol-
umes of hydrogen represent only per
cent of the total announced production
capacity.
Hydrogen has potential uses in hard-
to-abate sectors like steel production,
as well as in transport.
Speaking at the Eurelectric Eision
conference last month, however, Mi-
chael iebreich, Chairman and CEO
of iebreich Associates and Co-Man-
aging Partner of EcoPragma Capital,
was scathing of the technology.
He said: “What is Europe prepared
to do to get cheap energy, which is at
the heart of prosperity and jobs are
we prepared to scrape off the barna-
cles Are we prepared to admit that it
hydrogen was a blind alley
“Hydrogen Strategy 2021 proposed
spending 40 billion just on produc-
tion and distribution of hydrogen. The
report said green hydrogen is going to
cost 1.50, well it doesn’t.
“It costs -13 and the experience
curve is not going to help you, because
it’s 40 per cent electricity cost, 40 per
cent heavy engineering and electrical
engineering, and only 11 per cent elec-
trolysers. We’re not going to get cheap
green hydrogen and we need to admit
it.”
Headline News
Faith in hydrogen appears to be faltering
EU to ll gap in Just Energy
EU to ll gap in Just Energy
Transition nancing after US
Transition nancing after US
withdrawal
Europe is doubling down on its support for the energy transition following the US’ withdrawal
from the Just Energy Transition Partnership.
EU sends mixed signals on climate policy, as CO
2
levels hit new high