THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES -SEPTEMBER 2023
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Leonhard Birnbaum, Chief Executive
of German energy company E.On, says
Berlin should accept differences of
opinion and stop trying to impose its
views on nuclear power on the rest of
the EU in order to break the deadlock
on electricity market reform.
Germany shut down its last three
nuclear power plants earlier this year
following its pledge to end its use fol-
lowing the Fukushima meltdown.
France, meanwhile, has made it a pri-
ority to maintain and modernise its
nuclear power plant eet, especially
after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
A major stumbling block is Ger-
many’s refusal to support France’s
proposal to allow governments to
provide state aid to existing power
plants, which could enable Paris to
support the French nuclear eet.
Birnbaum said it would be “better
for everyone” if the two countries
could approach the dispute with the
mindset that “everyone does their
part”.
He said: “Neither the French will be
able to persuade us to use nuclear
power, nor we will be able to persuade
them not to. That’s why I think we
should take a different approach to the
discussion.” Birnbaum added Ger-
many “would do well to be a bit cau-
tious about trying to impose our way
on everyone else”, warning that this
approach was unlikely to be “crowned
with success”.
Birnbaum, whose company owned
one of the three German nuclear
plants shut down this year, noted that
French nuclear energy was helping
Germany’s transition to renewables.
Germany has been a net importer of
French electricity since shutting down
its own nuclear plants, which prompt-
ed the French Energy Minister Agnès
Pannier-Runacher to accuse Berlin of
hypocrisy.
“It’s a contradiction to massively
import French nuclear energy while
rejecting every piece of EU legisla-
tion that recognises the value of nu-
clear as a low-carbon energy source,”
Pannier-Runacher told the German
business daily Handelsblatt.
She also criticised Berlin’s drive to
use new gas red power plants as a
“bridge” to its target of being carbon
neutral by 2045, arguing that it cre-
ated a “credibility problem” for Ger-
many: “Gas is a fossil fuel.”
German government ofcials re-
sponded by pointing out that Ger-
many was a net exporter of electricity
to France over the winter when its
nuclear power stations were strug-
gling to produce because of mainte-
nance problems.
They added that the country only
imported French power because it was
cheaper, not because their country was
suffering shortages.
Paris is also wary that Berlin’s stance
is an attempt to undercut a key aspect
of French industrial competitiveness.
German industry has itself struggled
with high energy prices, resulting in
a call for the government to subsidise
industrial electricity prices.
Last month, predictions that the gov-
ernment would spend less than half
the €83 billion earmarked for subsi-
dising energy prices sparked a dispute
on how the savings should be spent.
The Munich-based Ifo Institute es-
timated the “gas price brake” that Ger-
man Chancellor Olaf Scholz unveiled
last year, as part of a €200 billion plan
to cushion the impact of the country’s
energy crisis on households and small
businesses, would cost about €13.1
billion due to lower gas prices – only
a third of the €40 billion set aside for
it this year.
The government is also on track to
make similar savings on the €43 bil-
lion it had budgeted to subsidise elec-
tricity bills, with the policy set to now
cost around half that amount based on
energy futures prices, according to
Max Lay, an Ifo specialist who con-
ducted its latest study.
“Some politicians say ‘we have this
funding, so let’s use it’, for instance
on the industrial electricity price sub-
sidy, but I’m not sure this will go
through,” said Lay.
Economy Minister Robert Habeck,
one of the leaders of the Green Party,
is pushing to use the savings for a sub-
sidy on industrial electricity prices. But
he is facing opposition from scally
conservative Finance Minister Chris-
tian Lindner, head of the liberal FDP,
who would rather use the money to
reduce Germany’s budget decit.
US. But in every quarter since, in-
vestments in green hydrogen in the
US have outpaced those in the EU,
with the US investing €1.2 billion
more in total over the period.
Washington is offering tax credits
of up to $3 per kilogramme of clean
hydrogen depending on production
conditions.
Markus Krebber, Chief Executive
of the German energy group RWE,
said at a press conference last month
that the US was “doing more at the
moment to build up integrated val-
ue chains”, adding that Europe
“could step up its game”.
The European Commission an-
nounced its Net Zero Industry Act
(NZIA) in March, setting targets for
domestic manufacturing capacity
for green technologies such as solar
power and batteries. But changes to
EU state aid rules have raised con-
cern that big economies such as
Germany and France will spend
more and unbalance competition
within the bloc.
Giles Dickson, Chief Executive
of industry organisation Wind Eu-
rope, said governments were being
“slow across the board” to take ad-
vantage of the new state aid rules.
This could see the region falling
short on targets for technologies
such as offshore wind, a sector that
is already being challenged by
global supply chain issues.
According to the latest Horizons
report by Wood Mackenzie, a
global insight business for renew-
ables, energy and natural resourc-
es, the global offshore wind supply
chain will require $27 billion of
secured investment by 2026 if it is
to meet a ve-fold growth in an-
nual installations (excluding Chi-
na) by 2030.
This gure is based on Wood
Mackenzie’s base case outlook
which forecasts annual capacity ad-
ditions to hit 30 GW by 2030, but
is dwarfed by policymakers’ off-
shore wind targets, which would
require nearly 80 GW per year. To
hit this goal set by governments
across the world, the supply chain
is estimated to require more than
$100 billion in investment.
The ndings come from: ‘Cross
currents: Charting a sustainable
course for offshore wind’, Wood
Mackenzie’s analysis into current
offshore wind supply chain con-
straints, investment barriers and
what is required to scale up.
“Governments have made clear
their commitment to offshore wind
as an important pillar of decarboni-
sation and energy security. How-
ever, the supply chain is struggling
to scale up and will be an impedi-
ment to achieving decarbonisation
targets if change does not happen,”
said Chris Seiple, Vice Chair, Pow-
er and Renewables at Wood Mack-
enzie, co-author of the report.
Continued from Page 1
Hydrogen is one of the two pillars,
alongside renewable energy, for com-
plete decarbonisation, according to a
new study prepared by the Fraunhofer
Institute for Systems and Innovation
Research and Artelys on behalf of the
European Commission.
The study, entitled ‘The Impact of
Industry Transition on a CO
2
-Neutral
European Energy System’, provides
a comprehensive view of the energy
transition in Europe, with a focus on
the decarbonisation of industry. It says
a reduction in CO
2
emissions by up to
95 per cent is possible by 2050, but
only with increased use of hydrogen
in combination with massive develop-
ment of renewable energy sources.
Jorgo Chatzimarkakis, CEO of Hy-
drogen Europe, commented: “What is
absolutely positive is the recognition
in the study of the central role of hy-
drogen – alongside renewable elec-
tricity – for the decarbonisation of
European industries.
“What is also encouraging is the
recognition that these quantities of
hydrogen can be produced in Europe
in the next 25 years and do not have
to be imported.”
He added: “For Germany, however,
the study is also a wake-up call. In the
model, Europe’s largest economy is
theoretically eliminated completely
as a producer of hydrogen and, due to
a lack of competitiveness, becomes
the main importer alongside Belgium
and the Netherlands – mainly from
France, Spain, and the UK. However,
a prerequisite to this is the develop-
ment of a corresponding European
infrastructure that can transport and
store hydrogen.”
The study estimates that hydrogen
and electricity will together represent
up to 80 per cent of all energy use by
2050, corresponding to a demand of
about 8000 TWh, mostly supply by
renewable energy sources.
The study highlights that a strong
hydrogen network is crucial to maxi-
mise the least-cost renewable resourc-
es, overcoming potential limitations
such as insufcient electricity infra-
structure. As such, Europe must rec-
ognise the need for a hydrogen back-
bone and the role of the existing gas
pipeline networks as essential to a
new and unied European energy
infrastructure.
The EU’s success in slashing its de-
pendence on Russian gas has left it
more vulnerable to the volatility in
global energy markets.
Although the bloc managed to stave
off an energy crisis last year by rap-
idly increasing imports of liqueed
natural gas (LNG), a surge in Euro-
pean gas prices in August showed that
European energy prices are now more
sensitive to supply disruptions from
around the world.
On August 9
th
European natural gas
prices surged nearly 40 per cent as
potential strikes at several large Aus-
tralian LNG projects, which account
for about 10 per cent of global sea-
borne gas supplies, caused alarm in
markets.
Tom Marzec-Manser at energy con-
sultancy ICIS, said: “The potential for
strike action at LNG export plants in
Australia once again highlights the
fact that we are now clearly in a glo-
balised gas market. Europe has under-
standably backlled Russian pipeline
supply with versatile LNG. But that
versatility leads to increased price
volatility.”
Goldman Sachs warned European
gas prices could double or even triple
this winter.
Kaushal Ramesh, head of LNG ana-
lytics at Rystad Energy, noted that
although Europe sits on a comfortable
level of reserves now, “the market
remains unstable as this winter could
still turn out severe and rapidly deplete
storage”.
Energy analysts said the markets
remained wary of any potential supply
disruptions, even though prices are
substantially lower than the peaks of
last summer when the slashing of Rus-
sian pipeline gas supplies saw gas
prices rocket to record highs above
€340/MWh.
“Even if gas storages are full, that
doesn’t necessarily mean everything
is ne,” commented Callum Macpher-
son, head of commodities at Investec.
“It comes down to the winter we
have, which is unknown at the mo-
ment,” he said, adding that there were
still “signicant tail risks” to Europe’s
gas situation.
In 2021, LNG accounted for about
20 per cent of the EU’s overall gas
imports. Last year it made up 34 per
cent of the EU’s gas imports. In 2023
it is expected to rise again to 40 per
cent – the amount the bloc was import-
ing via pipeline from Russia prior to
the invasion.
Headline News
Commission says hydrogen “essential” for EU
decarbonisation,
EU more vulnerable to global energy market volatility
in absence of Russian gas
France and Germany must
compromise on nuclear to advance
compromise on nuclear to advance
market reform, says E.On
Dickson says governments are
being slow to take advantage
of the new state aid rules
France and Germany must nd a compromise to end ongoing delays to the much-needed
revision of Europe’s electricity market, according to one of Europe’s largest utilities.