
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - FEBRUARY 2023
2
Junior Isles
The energy world is at the dawn of a 
new industrial age – the age of clean 
energy technology manufacturing – 
that is creating major new markets and 
millions of jobs but also raising new 
risks, prompting countries across the 
globe to devise industrial strategies to 
secure their place in the new global 
energy economy, according to a major 
new report by the International Energy 
Agency (IEA).
The Paris-based agency’s ‘Energy 
Technology Perspectives 2023’ shows 
that although the global market for key 
mass-manufactured clean energy tech-
nologies will be worth around $650 
billion a year by 2030 – more than three 
times today’s level – current supply 
chains of clean energy technologies 
present risks in the form of high geo-
graphic concentrations of resource 
mining and processing as well as tech-
nology manufacturing.
For technologies like solar panels, 
wind, EV batteries, electrolysers and 
heat pumps, the three largest producer 
countries account for at least 70 per 
cent of manufacturing capacity for 
each technology – with China domi-
nant in all of them.
Commenting on whether Europe 
and the US should be concerned about 
the dominance of China, IEA Execu-
tive Director Fatih Birol, said: “Yes it 
is true that today China has a dominant 
role in both the manufacturing of clean 
energy technologies and processing 
critical minerals. But you can look at 
this in two ways. On the one hand it 
has a huge role and concentration but 
on the other you can see that as a result 
of China’s learning by doing, it was 
able to bring the cost of these clean 
energy technologies down to make 
them more affordable.
“Now I see that countries like the US, 
Europe, India and Japan are also com-
ing with their clean energy manufactur-
ing strategies. This will help with di-
versication, which is always good to 
reduce risks. But we should not forget 
that the efforts the Chinese are making 
is having a positive global impact.”
The report notes that major econo-
mies are acting to combine their cli-
mate, energy security and industrial 
policies into broader strategies for their 
economies. 
The Ination Reduction Act in the 
United States is a clear example of 
this, but there is also the Fit for 55 
package and REPowerEU plan in the 
European Union, Japan’s Green 
Transformation programme, and the 
Production Linked Incentive scheme 
in India that encourages manufactur-
ing of solar PV and batteries – and 
China is working to meet and even 
exceed the goals of its latest Five-Year 
Plan.
Meanwhile, clean energy project 
developers and investors are watching 
closely for the policies that can give 
them a competitive edge. Relatively 
short lead times of around 1-3 years 
on average to bring manufacturing 
facilities online mean that the project 
pipeline can expand rapidly in an en-
vironment that is conducive to invest-
ment. Only 25 per cent of the an-
nounced manufacturing projects 
globally for solar PV are under con-
struction or beginning construction 
imminently, according to the report. 
The number is around 35 per cent for 
EV batteries and less than 10 per cent 
for electrolysers. Government poli-
cies and market developments can 
have a signicant effect on where the 
rest of these projects end up.
Amid the regional ambitions for 
scaling up manufacturing, ETP-2023 
underscores the important role of in-
ternational trade in clean energy tech-
nology supply chains. It shows that 
nearly 60 per cent of solar PV modules 
produced worldwide are traded across 
borders. Trade is also important for 
EV batteries and wind turbine com-
ponents, despite their bulkiness, with 
China being the main net exporter 
today.
basis for reforming an European 
electricity market that was designed 
in 1998. 
It is proposing a dual market with 
a short-term market (daily and in-
traday) “that is very liquid and 
transparent” like the current mar-
ginal market, that would be com-
bined with another long-term mar-
ket adapted to the particularities of 
each national market. It would 
separate the most expensive energy 
source in Europe’s power mix – 
natural gas – from clean electricity 
producers, such as renewables, 
hydro and nuclear energy, and pro-
mote forward contracts.
Another option in the proposed 
reform includes segregating power 
generators by technology. Renew-
ables, nuclear and hydro would be 
on one side, paid based on forward 
contracts for producing electricity. 
Combined cycle gas plants, energy 
storage and demand-side manage-
ment would form the capacity mar-
ket and be paid for rm capacity and 
availability, according to the Span-
ish proposal.
In this scenario, contracts for dif-
ference (CFDs) for renewables 
would incorporate a xed price for 
the lifetime of the power plant, 
while prices for nuclear and hydro-
power would be regulated under 
their CFDs.
The upside of this design is that 
power generators would not be able 
to earn  windfall prots, while  the 
capacity market would facilitate 
investments in energy storage, the 
government said. 
Spain believes the new regulation 
will give states room to adapt their 
energy mix and that, in the case of 
Spain, it may allow the remunera-
tion of hydro and nuclear energy to 
be removed from the daily mar-
ginal market in order to reduce the 
weight of the daily price inuenced 
by volatility and give more room 
for long-term contracts.
France, meanwhile, is committed 
to maintaining the existing mar-
ginal pricing system and rules out 
any type of market price interven-
tion, as proposed by the Spanish 
government for nuclear and hydro-
electric energy. 
Instead the French government 
advocates the creation of a fund to 
serve as a counterpart mechanism. 
This vehicle could be managed by 
the system operators to guarantee 
neutrality in its application.
Eurelectric, the organisation rep-
resenting Europe’s electricity com-
panies has already tabled a pro-
posal that will focus on the 
implementation of a capacity mech-
anism. This would allow the devel-
opment of back-up technologies, 
with CFDs and long-term PPAs to 
guarantee the protability of infra-
marginal technologies (renewables 
and nuclear).
Meanwhile, the EU faces continu-
ing difculties in 2023. The Inter-
national Energy Agency has warned 
that the reduction in pipeline gas 
from Russia risks leaving the bloc 
with a shortfall of 30 billion m
3
.
Continued from Page 1
Offshore wind installations are up, 
inspite of challenges such as a lack of 
trained personnel and supply chain 
issues.
According to WindEurope, the EU 
installed 15 GW of new wind farms in 
2022 – one third more than 2021. The 
organisation noted that this increase in 
new installations “is an encouraging 
result” given the overlapping chal-
lenges the industry faced in 2022.
Although it hailed the progress, the 
organisation noted that the 15 GW still 
falls signicantly short of what  Eu-
rope needs to build to deliver on its 
climate and energy security targets. 
The shortfall is largely due to permit-
ting bottlenecks, it said, noting that 80 
GW of wind energy projects across 
Europe are currently stuck in permit-
ting procedures.
WindEurope CEO Giles Dickson 
said: “15 GW of new wind in 2022 is 
not too bad given the challenges faced 
last year by Europe’s wind industry. 
It’s not enough for the EU’s energy 
targets, but governments know the 
latter can only be achieved if they 
simplify the permitting rules and pro-
cedures – and there are now signs of 
progress on this. Less encouraging is 
the slowdown in investments in new 
wind farms. Confusion about electric-
ity market rules is turning investors 
away. The EU must make Europe an 
attractive place for renewables invest-
ments again.”
A combination of ination and  un-
helpful government interventions in 
electricity markets is undermining in-
vestments in new wind farms, said 
WindEurope. In the rst 11 months of 
2022 the total new investments in wind 
farms in the EU covered only 12 GW 
of new capacity. This is signicantly 
less than the rate of new investments 
needed to deliver the EU’s 2030 cli-
mate and energy targets.
The organisation also said the forth-
coming reform of electricity markets 
must give investors greater clarity 
about what rules apply. “The freedom 
given to Member States in last year’s 
emergency measures to set their own 
national rules is turning investors 
away. They’re investing instead in the 
US, Australia and elsewhere. The EU 
is not attractive for major renewables 
investors right now,” it said.
Meanwhile, the International Energy 
Agency said in a report that the lack of 
trained personnel in the offshore wind 
energy sector could delay installation 
in the coming years.
“Installing a wind turbine requires 
fewer workers per unit of capacity than 
solar PV, but more material inputs, 
notably cement and cabling, as well as 
specialised machinery to transport and 
position the turbine. In the case of off-
shore wind farms, specialised vessels 
are required, which increasingly need 
to be capable of handling taller and 
larger wind turbines,” the agency said.
At the same time, offshore wind en-
ergy projects require more trained 
workers and more labour per megawatt 
than land-based projects throughout 
their life cycle.
“For instance, installing an offshore 
wind farm takes six or more years. For 
large-scale solar PV farms, installers 
can spend 8-14 months on a project, 
while distributed rooftop PV systems 
can typically be installed in just a few 
days,” said the report.
n The UK government has signed an 
agreement with a group of European 
partners to develop offshore renewable 
projects in the North Sea. The projects 
will link electricity interconnectors 
and wind farms. Players include Bel-
gium, Denmark, France, Germany, 
Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, 
Sweden, Norway and the European 
Commission.
The UK needs a ve-fold increase in 
solar power, an earlier ban on new gas 
boilers by 2033 and curbs on the export 
of plastic waste by 2027, according to 
a recent report.
In the 340-page ‘Net Zero Review’, 
Chris Skidmore, the Tory MP and for-
mer science and universities minister, 
commissioned to conduct the review, 
said the transition to a low-carbon 
economy is “the industrial revolution 
of our time” with opportunities for 
companies. He stressed, however, that 
opportunities are being missed today 
because of weaknesses in the UK’s 
investment environment.
Grant Shapps, Business and Energy 
Secretary, commented: “The UK is 
well placed to ensure that tackling cli-
mate change also brings new jobs and 
investment for businesses and com-
munities. I am grateful to Chris Skid-
more for his detailed report, which 
offers a range of ideas and innovations 
for us to consider as we work to grasp 
the opportunities from green growth.”
Energy UK welcomed the indepen-
dent review. Deputy Director of Policy, 
Charles Wood said: “We welcome the 
ndings of the Net Zero Review which 
underline in comprehensive fashion, 
the economic benets, in addition to 
the environmental ones, that meeting 
net zero will bring – as well as making 
it clear quite how far we have to go.” 
He called the review a “wide-ranging 
assessment”, noting there are 129 spe-
cic recommendations and actions that 
the government should adopt in full.
The report recommends reforms to 
local and national planning systems to 
“unleash” cheaper forms of electricity 
generation – onshore wind and solar 
– albeit with the caveat “where [such 
technologies are] locally supported”.
The review called for the government 
to set an ofcial target for solar power 
for the rst time – proposing that the 
UK develops 70 GW of solar genera-
tion by 2035 compared to the current 
gure of 14 GW.
It also urged the Treasury to give 
greater “longer-term certainty” to nu-
clear power stations, hydrogen tech-
nology and carbon capture and storage 
projects.
Headline News
Wind installations advance despite challenges
Wind installations advance despite challenges
UK is missing net zero opportunities
UK is missing net zero opportunities
World “at the dawn” of new 
World “at the dawn” of new 
industrial age, says IEA
The Spanish government 
has submitted a proposal to 
the European Commission 
n Clean-tech manufacturing market worth $650 billion per year
n Geographic concentration presents supply chain risks