
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - JANUARY 2023
2
Junior Isles
The promise of near limitless, zero-
carbon power is beginning to look less
like science ction, as private investors
gain condence following news of a
breakthrough that has seen scientists
achieve energy gain in a fusion reaction
for the rst time in history.
Last month, scientists at the Law-
rence Livermore National Laboratory
in California, USA, revealed that they
achieved the gain using inertial con-
nement laser-based fusion. The test
involved bombarding a pellet of hy-
drogen plasma with the world’s largest
laser to trigger a nuclear fusion reaction
– the same process that powers the sun.
The gain occurred for a split second
and the energy produced was only
greater than that in the lasers used to
trigger the reaction, and not the total
electrical energy use to power the sys-
tem. Researchers were able to produce
2.5 MJ of energy, 120 per cent of the
2.1 MJ used to power the experiment.
Many commentators, however, cel-
ebrated the breakthrough.
“Scientists have struggled to show
that fusion can release more energy out
than is put in since the 1950s, and the
researchers at Lawrence Livermore
seem to have nally and absolutely
smashed this decades-old goal,” Ar-
thur Turrell, Deputy Director of the UK
Ofce for National Statistics, wrote on
Twitter. “This experimental result will
electrify efforts to eventually power the
planet with nuclear fusion – at a time
when we’ve never needed a plentiful
source of carbon-free energy more!”
The announcement is good news for
a technology that has received growing
interest from the private sector, which
is now expected to play a huge role in
bringing it to market.
“We see this as a passing of the torch
moment,” said Andrew Holland, Ex-
ecutive Director of the Fusion Industry
Association, which was set up in 2018
to represent the nascent sector. “This
is where it goes from the lab to the
market place.”
The oldest private company in the
eld, according to the association’s
most recent report, is Princeton Fusion
Systems, founded in 1992. California-
based TAE Technologies came next in
1998, followed by Canada’s General
Fusion in 2002. But most of the private
sector growth has come in the past ve
years after the 2016 Paris climate
agreement committed countries to
limit global warming to well below 2°C
The breakthrough adds impetus to
this growing momentum.
Zoltan Tompa, a board member of
General Fusion, said: “It’s a huge shot
in the arm and I think it’s a psycho-
logical signal to society at large, to
investors, to policymakers, that fusion
is no longer in the realm of science
ction. We believe it has a real shot at
putting a commercial power plant on
the grid within about a decade from
now.”
The company says it is on track to
demonstrate the real-world possibili-
ties of the clean energy technology at
the power plant level by the year 2027
and have its rst commercial power
plant online in the early 2030s.
Some public-sector scientists sug-
gest that such timeframes are too opti-
mistic. But Philippe Larochelle at Bill
Gates’s Breakthrough Energy Ven-
tures, which rst backed Common-
wealth Fusion Systems (CFS) when it
was founded in 2018, said the fund’s
fusion investments should no longer
be seen as speculative.
“The reason we’ve invested in CFS
and our other fusion companies is that
we apply the same standard to them
that we do to all of our other electric-
ity investments, which is: do we think
that this is a scalable way of getting
carbon free dispatchable power at less
than $50/MWh,” he said. “It seems like
there’s a very plausible pathway here
that this could be a dominant source of
energy on Earth, sometime this cen-
tury, and I think maybe even in the next
decade or two.”
Although energy gain is a huge step,
a similarly signicant leap is still need-
ed to get to commercialisation, notably
in developing materials and compo-
nents that can operate reliably over
long periods. But encouraged by the
breakthrough, the race is now on to
build the rst nuclear fusion reactor.
The US Department of Energy
(DOE) believes fusion energy should
be feeding the nation’s power grid by
2040 and has called for applications
for entrepreneurial projects under the
US Energy 2020 Act, allocating a bud-
get of $50 million.
If the companies selected for these
initial grants succeed in meeting a se-
ries of increasingly rigorous scientic
and engineering milestones, they could
be eligible for up to $415 million more
in research grants. To remain in the
programme, fusion teams will have to
reach a progressive series of technical
milestones, demonstrating that they
can solve outstanding engineering
challenges.
Meanwhile, in Europe, in early De-
cember Swedish company Novatron
Fusion Group AB secured investment
from EIT InnoEnergy – the innovation
engine for sustainable energy sup-
ported by the European Institute of
Innovation and Technology (EIT) – to
build a new test facility to validate No-
vatron’s unique approach to plasma
connement.
In late November, UK-based First
Light Fusion announced a technical
partnership to rapidly advance towards
a 60 MW pilot plant based on its unique
fusion technology – a form of inertial
connement fusion using a projectile
instead of a laser – while addressing
the need for tritium harvesting.
with actions that need to be taken in
order to ensure enough storage ca-
pacity for hydrogen and support the
transition from natural gas to a hy-
drogen economy.
The paper was published as Ger-
many’s economy ministry com-
pleted a draft strategy paper that
reveals plans to develop an 1800 km
hydrogen energy pipeline network
by 2027 with state participation.
The paper, seen by Reuters also en-
visages Germany fostering the use
of blue hydrogen and importing it
during a transition period towards
green hydrogen.
The creation of a hydrogen net-
work company with state participa-
tion was needed to build a system
that was both t for purpose and
affordable, the paper said. The gov-
ernment is expected to present its
plans to industry shortly. The gov-
ernment also envisages Germany
doubling its electrolysis capacity to
10 GW by 2030, the paper said.
Spain has also recently announced
plans that will accelerate green hy-
drogen production and prepare for
transport of this future energy sourc-
es across the EU.
Following a meeting in December
with the leaders of France and Por-
tugal and European Commission
President, Ursula Von der Leyen,
Spain’s President, Pedro Sánchez
revealed the cost of plans for a green
hydrogen corridor between Spain
and France.
The new submarine hydrogen
pipeline between Barcelona and
Marseille (BarMar) will cost an es-
timated €2.5 billion and link the
Iberian Peninsula with France.
The new pipeline will form a sig-
nicant part of the €2.85 billion
H2Med project. Hailed as the rst
“great hydrogen corridor of the Eu-
ropean Union”, the project will in-
terconnect the hydrogen networks
of Portugal and Spain with France.
The plan is for H2Med to be “com-
pleted and operational” in 2030 to
allow Spain to export 10 per cent
– some 2 million tons per year – of
the total renewable hydrogen con-
sumption target estimated by the
European Union.
Von der Leyen expressed the Eu-
ropean Union’s full support for a
project based on hydrogen. She said
the project will “change the history
of Europe” and will be “a crucial
part” of the EU’s energy system.
“The project is clearly going in the
right direction, and I welcome it to
apply for EU funds. This is only the
beginning, but it is a very promising
beginning. The Iberian Peninsula
will be one of the great energy hubs
of the European Union,” she said.
The rst section between Celorico
(Portugal) and Zamora (Spain),
which will cost some €350 million,
is expected to be completed in about
four years, including 26 months to
obtain the relevant authorisations.
The estimated execution time for
BarMar is 56 months, including 26
months to obtain the permits. Con-
struction is expected to start in 2025.
Continued from Page 1
The global energy crisis is driving a
sharp acceleration in installations of
renewable power, with total generating
capacity worldwide set to almost dou-
ble in the next ve years, the Interna-
tional Energy Agency (IEA) says in a
new report.
Energy security concerns caused by
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have
motivated countries to increasingly
turn to renewables such as solar and
wind to reduce reliance on imported
fossil fuels, whose prices have spiked
dramatically. Global renewable pow-
er capacity is now expected to grow
by 2400 GW over the 2022-2027 pe-
riod – an amount equal to the entire
power capacity of China today – ac-
cording to ‘Renewables 2022’, the
latest edition of the IEA’s annual re-
port on the sector.
This massive expected increase is
30 per cent higher than the amount of
growth that was forecast just a year
ago, highlighting how quickly gov-
ernments have thrown additional
policy weight behind renewables.
The report nds that renewables are
set to account for over 90 per cent of
global electricity expansion over the
next ve years, overtaking coal to
become the largest source of global
electricity by early 2025.
The amount of renewable power
capacity added in Europe in the 2022-
27 period is forecast to be twice as
high as in the previous ve-year pe-
riod, driven by a combination of en-
ergy security concerns and climate
ambitions.
An even faster deployment of wind
and solar PV could be achieved if EU
member states were to rapidly imple-
ment a number of policies, including
streamlining and reducing permitting
timelines, improving auction designs
and providing better visibility on auc-
tion schedules, as well as improving
incentive schemes to support rooftop
solar.
The report came as EU energy min-
isters agreed in principle emergency
regulations that aim to speed up wind
and solar permitting. Delays in envi-
ronmental permitting and grid con-
nections have slowed wind and solar
growth. Permitting can take several
years due to complex administrative
processes and a lack of resources at
approval authorities.
The transition to a net zero emissions
world opens up an investment oppor-
tunity that totals almost $200 trillion
by 2050 – or nearly $7 trillion a year,
according to BloombergNEF.
The research and analysis rm mod-
elled a path to global net zero by 2050
and found the world can limit warm-
ing to 1.77°C. For that, “clean power
deployment needs to quadruple by
2030, in addition to a major invest-
ment in carbon capture and storage,
advanced nuclear technologies, and
hydrogen,” said David Hostert, glob-
al head of economics and modelling
at BNEF and lead author of the report.
There are two scenarios highlighted
in the report: an Economic Transition
Scenario, that assumes no new policy
action; and a Net Zero Scenario, that
assumes global net zero emissions by
2050. The economic transition sce-
nario requires annual investment to
double from the 2021 level of $2 tril-
lion per year to $4 trillion, while the
net zero scenario requires annual in-
vestment to more than triple to $6.7
trillion per year.
Headline News
Energy security is driving renewables growth,
Energy security is driving renewables growth,
says IEA
Net zero emissions is $7 trillion opportunity
Net zero emissions is $7 trillion opportunity
Fusion breakthrough brings
Fusion breakthrough brings
commercialisation closer
Von der Leyen expressed
full support for hydrogen
The demonstration of “energy gain” for a fusion reaction is a big boost to a private sector
that is becoming increasingly condent there will be commercial reactors within the next
decade or two.