THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - SEPTEMBER 2021
2
Junior Isles
The Intergovernmental Panel on Cli-
mate Change’s (IPCC) recent assess-
ment report has been cited as a stark
reminder of the need for a successful
outcome at the upcoming COP26 cli-
mate summit scheduled for November
in Glasgow, UK.
Britain’s Prime Minister Boris John-
son called the IPCC Report “sobering
reading” and a “wake-up call”, while
COP26 President Alok Sharma said it
“shows all too clearly… the deciency
of our response [to the climate crisis]
to date”.
The Working Group I report is the
rst instalment of the IPCC’s Sixth As-
sessment Report (AR6), which will be
completed in 2022. Prepared by 234
scientists from 66 countries, it high-
lights that human inuence has warmed
the climate at a rate that is unprecedent-
ed in at least the last 2000 years. It also
states that many changes due to past
and future greenhouse gas emissions
are irreversible over hundreds to thou-
sands of years, especially changes in
the ocean, ice sheets and global sea
level.
The report shows that emissions of
greenhouse gases from human ac-
tivities are responsible for approxi-
mately 1.1°C of warming since 1850-
1900, and nds that averaged over the
next 20 years, global temperature is
expected to reach or exceed 1.5°C of
warming. This assessment is based on
improved observational datasets to
assess historical warming, as well as
progress in scientic understanding
of the response of the climate system
to human-caused greenhouse gas
emissions.
The IPCC projects that in the coming
decades, climate changes will increase
in all regions. For 1.5°C of global
warming, there will be increasing heat
waves, longer warm seasons and short-
er cold seasons. At 2°C of global warm-
ing, heat extremes would more often
reach critical tolerance thresholds for
agriculture and health, the report
shows.
The report has huge implications for
policymakers in terms of tackling
greenhouse gas emissions and adapt-
ing to the levels of climate change the
world is already locked into. To keep
the 1.5°C target alive and adapt to a
changing climate, governments around
the world must provide unequivocally
clear policy signals to signicantly ac-
celerate the investment needed for a
zero carbon future.
Nick Molho, Executive Director at
the Aldersgate Group, said: “The UK
government has a critical role to play
in the coming months. On the global
stage, it needs to gather maximum mo-
mentum to bring emission reduction
pledges from all key emitting nations
in line with the 1.5°C target and look
to underpin this with tangible global
collaboration and initiatives in areas
where cutting emissions is particularly
complex.”
Christiana Figueres Founding Partner,
Global Optimism & former Executive
Secretary, UN Climate Change Con-
vention, said the report is yet another
reminder of the need to accelerate
global efforts to “ditch fossil fuels”
and shift to a cleaner, greener growth
model.
“We have a plan – it’s called the
Paris Agreement,” she said. “Every-
thing we need to avoid the exponential
impacts of climate change is doable.
But it depends on solutions moving
exponentially faster than impacts, and
getting on track to halving global emis-
sions by 2030. COP26 will be the mo-
ment of truth.”
COP26 presents a clear opportunity
to implement credible policies in areas
that will cut emissions quickly but
countries are failing to deliver on the
ambitions agreed at the COP meeting
in Paris in 2015.
At the start of August, it was revealed
that only just over half of countries
signed up to the Paris Agreement had
submitted their nationally determined
contributions (NDCs) before the
deadline.
By the cut-off date, the UNFCCC
revealed that it received new or up-
dated NDCs from 110 Parties. This
means that only 58 per cent of the Par-
ties have met the cut-off date.
A landmark report, aimed at inform-
ing policy and business on the task of
reaching net zero, has revealed the
huge task of achieving net zero by
2050. Providing a globally applicable
framework, with the US utilised as the
core case study, the report says that
without an unprecedented restructure
to energy project delivery, the world
may not make it even halfway to net
zero by mid-century.
Produced by Worley, a global pro-
vider of engineering, procurement, and
construction services to the energy,
chemicals and resources industries, in
collaboration with Princeton Univer-
sity’s Andlinger Center for Energy and
the Environment, the study uses path-
ways developed in the Net-Zero Amer-
ica study by Princeton in 2020.
This further examination says the US
will have to drastically exceed its cur-
rent low-emissions project build rate.
Under one pathway, to reach net zero,
individual solar projects with an area
equivalent to 260 Tokyo Olympic sta-
diums need to be built every week from
now until 2050. In another, more than
250 large nuclear power stations will
be needed – under current processes,
one such nuclear plant can take upto
20 years to get operational.
The report explores ve key shifts in
the approach to energy infrastructure
that can deliver a transition to net zero.
Dr. Paul Ebert, Group Director En-
ergy Transition at Worley said: “We
hope our work with Princeton Univer-
sity will help to equip key players in
the industry with strategic guidance for
the path ahead, using breakthrough
thinking, and shifting the focus from
what technologies we need, to how to
get them built, working to deliver a
more sustainable world for us all.”
found that blue hydrogen could be
20 per cent worse for the climate
than burning natural gas. The study,
published in Energy Science & En-
gineering, is claimed to be the rst
in a peer-reviewed journal to layout
the lifecycle emissions intensity of
blue hydrogen
Concluding that there is “no role
for blue hydrogen” in a carbon-free
future, the authors suggested that
“blue hydrogen is best viewed as a
distraction, something that may de-
lay needed action to truly decarbon-
ize the global energy economy”.
Robert Howarth, co-author of the
study and Professor of Ecology and
Environmental Biology at Cornell
University noted: “Politicians
around the world, from the UK and
Canada to Australia and Japan, are
placing expensive bets on blue hy-
drogen as a leading solution in the
energy transition.”
Others, however, see the strategy
as a welcome development for both
the energy industry and communi-
ties alike, as it creates a road map
for future power generation from
both blue and green hydrogen.
Stuart Carter at Keystone Law,
commented: “This also plays into
the government’s model for carbon
capture and storage, which is fo-
cused on the UK’s industrial hubs
such as Teesside and Humber-
side… if the government aims to
achieve its net-zero targets, the
blue hydrogen model and the
CCUS [carbon capture usage and
storage] model will need to be
fully integrated. This may mean
that blue hydrogen solely becomes
the fuel for power generation at
industrial hubs where CCUS will
be highly developed, and leaving
carbon-free green hydrogen, to be
produced, possibly at a more re-
gional level, to be used by domes-
tic consumers for transport, heat-
ing and cooking.”
David Parkin, Project Director
from Progressive Energy and Proj-
ect Director of HyNet North West,
a project to capture and store car-
bon from industry in the North
West of England and North Wales,
said: “Industry across the UK’s
North West industrial heartland is
crying out for low carbon hydrogen
so we welcome the promise of
more support.
“With initial engineering nearly
completed on HyNet’s rst hydro-
gen production plant at Essar’s
Stanlow Manufacturing Complex,
hydrogen production will begin as
soon as 2025 and deliver up to 4
GW of low carbon hydrogen by
2030. The key now is for the govern-
ment to build momentum by pri-
oritising projects that are ready for
development today.”
Continued from Page 1
The UK’s plans for a new eet of large
nuclear power plants could be under
threat, as the government is report-
edly reconsidering China’s involve-
ment in the development of projects
amid cooling diplomatic relations and
concerns over potential security
threats.
According to the Financial Times,
the British government is exploring
ways to remove China General Nu-
clear (CGN) from the consortium
planning to build the Sizewell C nu-
clear power station in Suffolk. It said
ministers are also going cold on plans
by CGN to build a plant at Bradwell-
on-Sea in Essex using its own reactor
technology. CGN is already a minor-
ity investor in the 3.2 GW Hinkley
Point C nuclear power station, which
France’s EDF is currently building.
One nuclear industry executive told
the FT that CGN might now reassess
its involvement with Hinkley Point.
They pointed out there were four in-
terlinked agreements between CGN,
EDF and the government dating to
2015: Hinkley Point, Sizewell,
Bradwell and the pursuit of regula-
tory approval for China’s own reactor
design.
CGN is eager to get UK regulatory
approval at Bradwell for its own Hua-
long One HPR1000 reactor in order
to help market it in other countries.
The reactor design is going through
the UK’s rigorous approval process,
with a decision expected in the second
quarter of next year.
According to the Daily Telegraph, a
“cross-party” group of “China hawks”
in the House of Commons is putting
pressure on the government to impose
an “outright” ban on a Chinese state-
owned rm’s involvement in all UK
nuclear power plants.
The group – led by Tory MPs Iain
Duncan Smith and Chairman of the
Foreign Affairs Committee, Tom Tu-
gendhat – reportedly has the full back-
ing of the Inter-Parliamentary Alli-
ance on China (IPAC), which claims
to be an international body working
to “reform how democratic countries”
engage with the Asian giant.
The Daily Telegraph quoted IPAC
as warning that the UK is “danger-
ously exposed” by its “overreliance”
on Chinese investment and technol-
ogy in the “critical national infrastruc-
ture” sector.
UK Foreign Secretary Dominic
Raab observed last year that Britain
could no longer conduct “business as
usual with China”. The UK’s highest-
prole action so far has been to force
the Chinese telecoms supplier, Hua-
wei, out of Britain’s 5G network.
British ministers are now said to be
“looking for ways” to enable EDF
energy to develop the £20 billion Size-
well C project without any input from
CGN, which has a 20 per cent stake
in the project.
The Times said the government is
mulling options for funding the plant,
including buying a multi-billion
pound stake in the project or nding
new investors to replace CGN.
Tim Yeo, a former Tory energy min-
ister who chairs the New Nuclear
Watch Institute, an industry-support-
ed think-tank, said concerns about
Chinese involvement in the UK nu-
clear power sector had been over-
stated. Any disruption or interference
in its operations would close down all
export opportunities elsewhere for
CGN, he argued.
“The notion that China would arbi-
trarily close down a plant which they
had built in UK for some geopolitical
reason is absurd,” he said. “They have
nothing to gain and everything to lose
by disrupting the supply of electricity
from a nuclear plant which they had
built here.”
A spokesperson for the UK govern-
ment did not comment directly on the
claims that ministers would seek to
forge a nuclear programme without
CGN, instead only saying that “all
nuclear projects” must comply with
“robust and independent regulation”
in order to meet the UK’s “rigorous
legal, regulatory and national security
requirements, ensuring our interests
are protected”.
Headline News
UK nuclear programme could be
UK nuclear programme could be
under threat
IPCC report is stark warning
IPCC report is stark warning
in run-up to climate talks
in run-up to climate talks
Howarth says countries are
“placing expensive bets” on
blue hydrogen
n Human inuence has warmed climate at unprecedented rate
n Only just over half of countries submit climate targets