THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - JULY 2021
2
Junior Isles
Global investment in energy is set to
rebound by nearly 10 per cent in 2021
to $1.9 trillion, reversing most of last
year’s drop caused by the Covid-19
pandemic, but spending on clean en-
ergy transitions needs to accelerate
much more rapidly to meet climate
goals, according to a recent report
from the International Energy Agency
(IEA).
With energy investment returning to
pre-crisis levels, its composition is
continuing to shift towards electricity:
2021 is on course to be the sixth year
in a row that investment in the power
sector exceeds that in traditional oil and
gas supply, according to the ‘World
Energy Investment 2021’ report.
Global power sector investment is set
to increase by around 5 per cent in 2021
to more than $820 billion, its highest
ever level, after staying at in 2020.
Renewables are dominating invest-
ment in new power generation capac-
ity and are expected to account for 70
per cent of the total this year. And that
money now goes further than ever in
nancing clean electricity, with a dollar
spent on solar PV deployment today
resulting in four times more electricity
than ten years ago, thanks to greatly
improved technology and falling costs.
“The rebound in energy investment
is a welcome sign, and I’m encouraged
to see more of it owing towards re-
newables,” said Fatih Birol, the IEA’s
Executive Director. “But much greater
resources have to be mobilised and
directed to clean energy technologies
to put the world on track to reach net-
zero emissions by 2050. Based on our
new Net Zero Roadmap, clean energy
investment will need to triple by 2030.”
While renewables dominate new
power investment, and approvals for
coal red plants are some 80 per cent
below where they were ve years ago,
coal is not out of the picture. There
was even a slight increase in go-
aheads for coal red plants in 2020,
driven by China and some other Asian
economies.
There are signs in the latest data that
spending by some global oil and gas
companies is starting to diversify. IEA
analysis last year highlighted that only
around 1 per cent of capital spending
by the industry was going to clean en-
ergy investments. But project tracking
to date in 2021 suggests that this could
rise to 4 per cent this year for the in-
dustry as a whole, and well above 10
per cent for some of the leading Euro-
pean companies.
The anticipated $750 billion to be
spent on clean energy technologies and
efciency in 2021 is encouraging but
remains far below what the IEA says
is required to put the energy system on
a sustainable path. Clean energy in-
vestment would need to triple in the
2020s to put the world on track to reach
net zero emissions by 2050, thereby
keeping the door open for a 1.5 °C sta-
bilisation of the rise in global tem-
peratures, said the Paris-based agency.
Just ahead of the G7 Summit last
month, 57 investors managing more
than $41 trillion in assets released a
joint statement to all world govern-
ments urging a global race-to-the-top
on climate policy and warning that lag-
gards will miss out on trillions of dol-
lars in investment if they aim too low
and move too slow.
This represents the largest collective
assets under management to sign a
global investor statement to govern-
ments on climate change since the rst
statement in 2009.
in keeping temperatures below the
agreed target of 1.5°C above pre-
industrial levels, we must mas-
sively accelerate investment in
clean and renewable energy proj-
ects, particularly in developing
countries.”
Leaders from developing coun-
tries also voiced concern over the
outcome of the G7 summit. Malik
Amin Aslam, Climate Minister of
Pakistan, said: “The G7 announce-
ment on climate nance is really
peanuts in the face of an existential
catastrophe. It really comes as a
huge disappointment for impacted
and vulnerable countries like Paki-
stan – already compelled to ramp
up their climate expenditures to
cope with forced adaptation needs.”
He also warned of the impact on
the COP26 talks scheduled for No-
vember. “At the least, countries
responsible for this inescapable
crisis need to live up to their stated
commitments, otherwise the up-
coming climate negotiations could
well become an exercise in futility,”
he said.
While some said it was encourag-
ing that leaders were recognising
the importance of climate change,
they argued it was not enough.
Pettengell said that their “words
had to be backed up by specic ac-
tion” on cutting subsidies for fossil
fuel development and ending in-
vestment in projects such as new
oil and gas elds, as well as on
climate nance.
At the summit, European Com-
mission President Ursula von der
Leyen said the G7 leaders had
agreed to phase-out coal. The G7
said it will end the funding of new
coal generation in developing coun-
tries and offer up to £2 billion ($2.8
billion) to stop using the fuel. But
despite committing to an end to -
nancing coal overseas, and phasing
out fossil fuel subsidies by 2025, the
group stopped short of calling a halt
to the exploitation of new fossil fuel
resources.
“We have committed to rapidly
scale-up technologies and policies
that further accelerate the transition
away from unabated coal capacity,
consistent with our 2030 NDCs
[Nationally Determined Contribu-
tions] and net zero commitment,”
stated the communiqué.
Laurie van der Burg, senior cam-
paigner at the pressure group Oil
Change International, said: “The
G7 has failed to commit to what
leading economists, energy ana-
lysts, and global civil society have
shown is required: an end to public
nance for all fossil fuels. Our cli-
mate cannot afford further delay,
and the failure of the G7 to heed
these demands means more people
impacted by the ravages of our cli-
mate chaos.”
Continued from Page 1
Green infrastructure developer Ceru-
lean Winds has revealed an ambitious
plan to accelerate decarbonisation of
oil and gas assets through an inte-
grated oating wind turbine and hy-
drogen development that would shift
the dial on emissions targets and cre-
ate signicant jobs.
The £10 billion proposed green in-
frastructure plan would have the ca-
pacity to abate 20 million tonnes of
CO
2
through simultaneous North Sea
projects West of Shetland and in the
Central North Sea.
The venture is now calling on UK
and Scottish governments to make an
“exceptional” case to deliver an
“extraordinary” outcome for the
economy and the environment. A for-
mal request for seabed leases has been
submitted to Marine Scotland.
The proposed development involves
over 200 of the largest oating tur-
bines at sites West of Shetland and in
the Central North Sea with 3 GW,
feeding power to the offshore facili-
ties and an excess of up to 1.5 GW to
onshore green hydrogen plants.
Cerulean says the project will need
no subsidies or contract for difference
(CfD) and will provide green power
to offshore platforms at a price below
current gas turbine generation.
The company says it has carried out
the necessary infrastructure planning
for the required level of project read-
iness and aims to achieve nancial
close in the rst quarter of 2022. Con-
struction would start shortly after-
wards and operation could begin in
2024.
Such projects could be crucial to the
oil and gas sector. Speaking ahead of
a debate in Holyrood, Scotland, in
June OGUK, the leading representa-
tive body for the UK’s offshore oil and
gas industry, said that there is a clear
plan for the future of oil and gas.
Commenting on the the North Sea
Transition Deal, announced in March,
OGUK said it recognises the climate
crisis as a priority and “provides a clear
plan for the industry” as it works to
transform the UK’s energy system. It
said the deal sets out key milestones
for the oil and gas industry to cut its
emissions by 10 per cent by 2025, 25
per cent by 2027 before 50 per cent by
2030 while producing the “healthy,
domestic oil and gas the UK will need
with ever reducing emissions”.
OGUK External Relations Director
Jenny Stanning said: “The North Sea
Transition Deal was recognised by
many parties during the election cam-
paign and provides a clear plan for the
transformation of our energy, resourc-
es, people and skills.”
A tax on fossil carbon is more effective
for a carbon border adjustment mech-
anism (CBAM) than a tax on CO
2
emis-
sions, say experts from Germany’s
nova-Institute GmbH.
According to a recent paper from the
institute, a tax on fossil carbon is “an
effective and elegant tool” to achieve
the goals of the CBAM, noting that it
is in line with the ambitious climate
goals of the EU and supports both the
decarbonisation of the energy sector as
well as the transformation of the chem-
icals and derived materials sector from
fossil to renewable carbon.
With the introduction of the Euro-
pean Green Deal in 2019, the Euro-
pean Union committed to achieving
climate neutrality by 2050. As a step
towards this goal, the rst European
Climate Law – agreed in April 2021
– strengthened the emission reduction
targets. In 2030, emissions are to be
at least 55 per cent lower than in 1990.
There has been growing support for
a CBAM to create a level playing eld
for competitors producing goods in
countries that have set their sights
lower than the European Union and
importing into the internal European
market. In other words, goods pro-
duced outside the EU would have to
bear the same costs for carbon emis-
sions as those produced in Europe.
The most frequently suggested op-
tion is to tax imported goods according
to the greenhouse gases emitted during
their production, most often referred
to as a CO
2
tax.
In the new nova-Paper #15, experts
argue that a tax on fossil carbon at the
feedstock level (called a “fossil carbon
tax”) provides several advantages over
a CO
2
tax as an end-of-pipe measure.
Carbon enters the economic cycle
through the use of coal, oil and natural
gas and is usually emitted as CO
2
(after
incineration) but can also be released
into the atmosphere in other forms, e.g.
CH
4
(methane).
“With levying a price on fossil car-
bon, the cause of global warming could
be priced elegantly, fairly, and univer-
sally,” said the paper.
The idea follows discussions on the
topic at the G7 Summit hosted in June
by British Prime Minister Boris John-
son. At the meeting the G7 pledged to
work together to tackle so-called car-
bon leakage – the risk that tough cli-
mate policies could cause companies
to relocate to regions where they can
continue to pollute cheaply.
In May, Johnson came under pressure
from senior members of his Conserva-
tive party to introduce a UK carbon
border tax to protect British industry
from cheap competition from polluting
countries.
Chancellor Rishi Sunak has ordered
work to be done on the tax, which Trea-
sury insiders said would address “real
issues”. They told the FT that Sunak
was interested in the proposal, but ad-
mitted that there were serious technical
hurdles to be overcome.
Headline News
Floating wind and hydrogen could
Floating wind and hydrogen could
decarbonise North Sea oil and gas
decarbonise North Sea oil and gas
Study suggests tax on fossil carbon more effective than CO
Study suggests tax on fossil carbon more effective than CO
2
tax
Energy investments set to
Energy investments set to
recover but still far from
recover but still far from
net zero pathway
Aslam called the G7 climate
nance “peanuts”
n Energy investment to hit $1.9 trillion
n Power sector spending set to grow 5 per cent