www.teitimes.com
March 2021 • Volume 14 • No 1 • Published monthly • ISSN 1757-7365
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES is published by Man in Black Media • www.mibmedia.com • Editor-in-Chief: Junior Isles • For all enquiries email: enquiries@teitimes.com
Developing the edge
Driving decarbonisation
The move from centralised systems to
a more decentralised set-up calls for
innovation at the grid edge.
Page 13
Focusing on electrifying eet
vehicles holds the key to rapid
decarbonisation of transport.
Page 14
News In Brief
Hydrogen may be competitive
sooner than expected
Green hydrogen is set to play a
signicant role in the energy mix
sooner faster than expected as costs
of production fall.
Page 2
Mexico raises fears over
renewables legislation
The Global Wind Energy Council
and Global Solar Council have
now added their voices to calls
for the government of Mexico to
halt reversals to key parts of the
country’s Electricity Act.
Page 4
India can avoid high carbon
future, says IEA
India has a huge opportunity to
bring electricity to millions of its
citizens without following the high
carbon path that other countries
have followed, says the International
Energy Agency.
Page 5
EU offshore wind target
needs huge grid investment
According to the European
Commission the investment needed
for its latest offshore wind target
of 300 GW by 2050 amounts to
almost €800 billion, two-thirds of
which would be spent on network
infrastructure.
Page 7
South Africa to speed up
renewables
Large amounts of renewable energy
will be procured through auctions
in the coming weeks and months,
South African President Cyril
Ramaphosa said in his state of the
nation address.
Page 8
Offshore wind turbine
market hots up
Competition in the offshore wind
turbine market escalated last month
with Vestas’ introduction of what
will be the world’s largest wind
turbine.
Page 9
Fuel Watch: Gas
Qatar Petroleum has taken the
decision to proceed with the North
Field East (NFE) Project, the largest
LNG project ever undertaken.
Page 12
Technology Focus: Synthetic
fuels in the fast lane
The Hari Onu project in Chile
is gearing up to demonstrate the
potential of synthetic fuel production
from wind.
Page 15
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Shell has laid out its plan to reach zero carbon. The plan will see signicant investment in
renewables, with some arguing that some oil and gas companies are paying too much for
renewables assets. Junior Isles
Plans for Danish energy hub take shape
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY
TIMES
Final Word
Expecting the unexpected
must be standard practice,
says Junior Isles.
Page 16
Royal Dutch Shell has become the lat-
est oil and gas company (OGC) to an-
nounce plans to reach net zero carbon
emissions by 2050, highlighting a
growing realisation that the future lies
in shifting focus away from fossil fuels
to clean energy.
The energy major said it plans to
continue generating cash from its oil
business and “over time” invest more
into gas, chemicals, renewables and
selling power.
The plan would see net emissions
intensity, i.e. the amount of carbon per
megajoule of energy sold, fall 6-8 per
cent from 2016 levels by 2023, 20 per
cent by 2030, 45 per cent by 2035 and
100 per cent by 2050. Shell said on an
absolute basis they would also fall to
zero.
Stuart Carter a senior oil and gas
lawyer at Keystone Law, commented:
“Shell’s announcement is a modern
day ‘King Cnut’ declaration that they
cannot hold back the tide and over the
course of the next 30 years will be ac-
tively pursuing measures to cut their
carbon foot print.”
Professor David Elmes, Head of the
Global Energy Research Network at
Warwick Business School, also noted
the new strategy places the company
in the growing group of energy com-
panies committing to net zero emis-
sions and transitioning away from be-
ing an oil and gas company, but
questioned if it can fund the transition.
“There are some big technology bets
in Shell’s plans: carbon capture and
storage, more biofuels and replacing
natural gas with hydrogen. These need
a lot of investment to deliver volume
at affordable prices,” he said.
Shell hopes to increase its number of
electric vehicle charging points from
60 000 to about 500 000 by 2025. It is
also putting an emphasis on hydrogen,
biofuels, new carbon capture and stor-
age targets and offsets.
It plans to invest $19-$22 billion
each year, $8 billion in oil, $4 billion
in gas, up to $5 billion in chemicals,
up to $3 billion in renewables and “en-
ergy solutions” and around $3 billion
in marketing.
Explaining how these goals will be
funded, Shell’s Chief Executive Ben
van Beurden said: “Our upstream [oil
exploration and production] business
will continue to generate the cash
and returns needed to fund share-
holder distributions, and also to ac-
celerate our transition into the future
of energy.”
Professor Elmes, however, said that
more detail is needed. “When BP
launched their new strategy, a discus-
sion among shareholders was, can
they earn enough prots to invest in
the changes while keeping investors
happy with dividends. It’s that level of
detail that Shell needs to provide.”
There has been debate within Shell
over how far the company should go.
Some executives have called for a
faster shift towards renewables, while
others remain concerned about dilut-
ing legacy businesses, questioning
Continued on Page 2
A plan to build an energy island in the
North Sea has been given the go-
ahead by the Danish government,
marking an important step in making
the North Sea a renewable energy hub
for Europe.
The energy hub will be an articial-
ly constructed island 80 km from the
shore of the peninsula Jutland. Around
200 wind turbines with a combined
capacity of 3 GW are expected to be
installed in the rst phase of the proj-
ect. When fully developed, it will
reach a capacity of 10 GW.
Giving the green light for the proj-
ect, the Danish Ministry of Climate,
Energy and Utilities said the hub will
produce “yet unseen” amounts of
green electricity and is one of the gov-
ernment’s agship projects for the
green transition in Europe.
Danish Minister for Climate, Dan
Jørgensen said: “This is truly a great
moment for Denmark and for the
global green transition. This decision
marks the start of a new era of sustain-
able energy production in Denmark
and the world and it links very ambi-
tious climate goals with growth and
green jobs.
“The energy hub in the North Sea
will be the largest construction proj-
ect in Danish history. It will make a
big contribution to the realisation of
the enormous potential for European
offshore wind, and I am excited for
our future collaboration with other
European countries,” said Jørgensen.
The island will act as an offshore
power plant generating electricity
from the wind turbines installed
around the island and distributing it
directly to consumers in countries sur-
rounding the North Sea.
“We are at the dawn of a new era
for energy,” said Jørgensen. “The EU
has set a goal to achieve climate neu-
trality by 2050 and the Commission
has set a target of 300 GW of off-
shore wind energy in order to attain
this goal. By constructing the world’s
rst energy hub with a potential ca-
pacity of 10 GW, Denmark signi-
cantly contributes to this ambitious
target. Not only by dramatically ex-
panding renewable energy produc-
tion, but also by supplying our Euro-
pean neighbours with an abundance
of renewable energy.”
The energy island will be a public-
private partnership between the Dan-
ish state and private companies.
Denmark will own the majority of
the island, but private companies
will be crucial for the project to fulll
the potential with regards to innova-
tion, exibility, cost-effectiveness,
and business potentials, the Ministry
said.
In a related development, last month
Denmark-based green hydrogen pro-
ducer Everfuel A/S said its green
hydrogen project in the Danish penin-
sula of Jutland will lead efforts to
build a green fuel hub in the region.
The company is joining a partnership,
which also includes local consultancy
COWI, Ørsted, Vattenfall and the
Frederica renery.
Together the partners are currently
working to build industrial-scale
power-to-X facilities in the Triangle
Region for hydrogen production
from renewable energy. Everfuel’s
20 MW HySynergy project is ex-
pected to be in operation from the
middle of 2022.
A second phase of the project is be-
ing planned, which could expand ca-
pacity with a 300 MW electrolyser,
due to be operational by 2025, the
company said. The facility will pro-
duce green hydrogen but Everfuel is
also considering production of am-
monia and methanol for green marine
and aviation fuels.
Shell sets out zero
Shell sets out zero
carbon ambition,
carbon ambition,
as OGCs race for
as OGCs race for
renewables
renewables
Shell’s CEO Ben van Beurden says upstream activites will fund transition
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
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THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
5
Asia News
Syed Ali
India has a huge opportunity to bring
electricity to millions of its citizens
without following the high carbon path
that other countries have followed,
says the International Energy Agency
(IEA).
In its ‘India Energy Outlook 2021’,
the Paris-based said India’s ability to
ensure affordable, clean and reliable
energy for its growing population will
be vital for the future development of
its economy, but doing this in a low
carbon way will require strong poli-
cies, technological leaps and a surge in
clean energy investment.
The India Energy Outlook 2021 – a
special report in the IEAs World En-
ergy Outlook series – examines the
opportunities and challenges faced by
the planet’s third-largest energy con-
suming country as it seeks to recover
from the Covid-19 crisis. India is set
to experience the largest increase in
energy demand of any country world-
wide over the next 20 years as its
economy continues to develop.
The nation’s energy needs are ex-
pected to grow at three times the
global average under today’s policies.
Energy use has doubled since 2000,
with most of that demand met by coal
and oil. Energy demand is set to grow
about 35 per cent by 2030, down from
the 50 per cent forecasted before the
coronavirus pandemic.
“India has made remarkable prog-
ress in recent years, bringing electric-
ity connections to hundreds of mil-
lions of people and impressively
scaling up the use of renewable en-
ergy, particularly solar,” said Dr Fatih
Birol, the IEA Executive Director.
“What our new report makes clear is
the tremendous opportunity for India
to successfully meet the aspirations of
its citizens without following the
high-carbon pathway that other econ-
omies have pursued in the past.”
More than that of any other major
economy, India’s energy future de-
pends on buildings and factories that
are yet to be built, and vehicles and
appliances that are yet to be bought.
Based on India’s current policy set-
tings, nearly 60 per cent of its CO
2
emissions in the late 2030s will be com-
ing from infrastructure and machines
that do not exist today. This represents
a huge opening for policies to steer
India onto a more secure and sustain-
able course, says the report.
The IEA says this pathway will call
for widespread electrication of pro-
cesses, greater energy efciency, the
use of technologies like carbon cap-
ture, and a switch to progressively
lower-carbon fuels.
It notes, however, that these transfor-
mations, “on a scale no country has
achieved in history”, will require huge
advances in innovation, strong partner-
ships and vast amounts of capital. The
additional funding for clean energy
technologies required to put India on a
sustainable path over the next 20 years
is $1.4 trillion, or 70 per cent higher
than in a scenario based on its current
policy settings, says the report. But the
benets are huge, including savings of
the same magnitude on oil import bills.
Birol said policymakers needed to
ensure the next wave of growth is met
with renewable energy sources such as
solar. “India has a huge potential to be
the kingmaker in solar electricity, be-
cause it is very cheap,” Birol said.
According to a recent data from Mer-
com, the share of solar power in India’s
installed power capacity mix reached
10.3 per cent, exceeding that of wind-
based power sources for the rst time.
Solar, however, still only represents
4 per cent of generation, with coal still
providing 70 per cent of the country’s
electricity. And despite impressive
gains in renewables, the country still
continues to make large coal capacity
additions. In February, Bharat Heavy
Electricals Limited (BHEL) success-
fully commissioned the second unit
(800 MW) of the 2x800 MW Gadar-
wara supercritical coal red power
plant in Madhya Pradesh.
n A Statement of Intent has been signed
between IndianOil Corp. Ltd. and M/s
Greenstat Hydrogen India Pvt. Ltd., a
subsidiary of Greenstat Norway for
setting up of a Centre of Excellence on
Hydrogen (CoE-H). The Government
of India is giving more attention to
exploration of new and emerging forms
of energy such as carbon capture usage
and storage (CCUS) and fuel cells.
South Korea says it will build the
world’s largest wind farm by 2030, as
part of a green economic recovery fol-
lowing the Covid-19 pandemic.
The 8.2 GW offshore wind power
complex in Sinan, South Jeolla Prov-
ince, is one of the main components of
South Korean President Moon Jae-in’s
New Green Pact, which began last year
to curb dependence on fossil fuels in
Asia’s fourth economy and make it
carbon neutral by 2050.
Moon said the project will require an
investment of about Won48.5 trillion
($43.2 billion) and will create 5600
jobs. The project will also be central
to helping the government achieve its
target to increase the country’s wind
capacity to 16.5 GW by 2030, up from
the current 1.67 GW.
South Korea has set a goal of becom-
ing by 2030 one of the top ve nations
when it comes to offshore wind power
generation.
Indonesia has outlined its smart grid
development programmes, in a move
it hopes will improve grid reliability
and efciency.
Under a new government plan, ve
new systems will be installed in Java-
Bali between 2020 and 2024, reaching
a total of 25 systems by the end of the
period.
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral
Resources Republic of Indonesia said
in a statement issued in February: “In
increasing the reliability of the electric
power system, smart grid is believed
to be one of the solutions to increase
efciency in services to the commu-
nity. In addition, smart grids can in-
crease transmission exibility [in or-
der] to receive more Variable
Renewable Energy (VRE).”
Speaking at a webinar, Secretary of
the Directorate General of Electricity
Munir Ahmad, said: “The use of smart
grid technology is not limited to urban
and large-scale electricity consumers.
Smart grid technology can also be
utilised on small-scale smart mi-
crogrids in rural and remote areas with
difcult access to the transmission
network.”
State power utility PLN has already
conducted several smart grid pilot proj-
ects. Smart grid implementation will
initially focus on reliability, efciency,
customer experience and grid produc-
tivity. In the next stage PLN will focus
on resilience, customer engagement,
sustainability and self-healing.
India can avoid high
India can avoid high
carbon future, says IEA
carbon future, says IEA
South Korea plans world’s
largest offshore wind farm
Indonesia sets
Indonesia sets
out smart grid
out smart grid
programme
programme
n Energy demand is set to grow about 35 per cent by 2030
n Clean technology path will require $1.4 trillion
billion East Anglian Hub offshore
wind farm in the UK.
Over 200 14+MW wind turbines
are planned for the East Anglian
Hub, according to Iberdrola, parent
company of ScottishPower Renew-
ables. The two companies have
agreed to work together ahead of
the next Contracts for Difference
auction – scheduled for later this
year – to optimise the projects, with
the ambition of then signing turbine
supply and installation agreements.
Subject to the outcome of the plan-
ning considerations, construction of
the East Anglia Hub is expected to
commence in 2023, with completion
in 2026.
The East Anglia Hub projects have
the potential to deliver more than 7.5
per cent of the UK’s 40 GW target
for offshore wind generation by
2030 as set out in the government’s
Ten Point Plan. To deliver on the
plan’s ambitions, this years Con-
tracts for Difference auction will
need to ensure sufcient deployment
to put the UK on track to achieve
this target.
Hitachi ABB Power Grids announced
in February that it has received a $20
million order from TEİAŞ, the trans-
mission system operator for electric-
ity in Turkey. The order is to supply
power transformers for a grid expan-
sion project to bring power to remote
regions across the country.
Under the contract, Hitachi ABB
Power Grids’ transformer business
will supply 62.5 MVA and 100
MVA, 154 kV power transformers.
GE has announced the start of com-
mercial operation of Junliancheng
Power Plant in Tianjin City, China. GE
provided the power generation equip-
ment for the new 661 MW CHP gas-
red power plant that replaced the
coal-red power plant. Following the
transition, the Junliangcheng plant is
expected to reduce SO
2
and NOx emis-
sions by 1200 and 7775 tons per year,
respectively.
The new plant, owned by China
Huadian Tianjin Junliangcheng Pow-
er Generation, part of China Huadian
Corporation (CHD), features the rst
commercially operating GE 9HA.01
technology in China. In addition to
the 9HA.01 gas turbine, GE supplied
the Mark* VIe Distributed Control
Solution, for full combined cycle
plant control and operation, while
GE’s local partner on this project -
Harbin Electric - provided the steam
turbine, generator and balance-of-
plant equipment for Junliangcheng.
An order to supply gas power genera-
tion equipment for West African En-
ergy’s 300 MW combined cycle gas
turbine (CCGT) power project in Cap
des Biches, Dakar, Senegal has been
awarded to GE. In a statement, GE
said: “Upon completion, the Cap des
Biches plant will be the biggest power
plant in Senegal and is expected to
generate nearly 25 per cent of the elec-
tricity consumed in the country.
The plant is expected to begin op-
erations in phases starting in 2022.
GE will supply two 9E.03 gas tur-
bines, one STF-A200 steam turbine,
three A39 generators, two heat re-
covery steam generators, and addi-
tional balance-of-plant equipment as
part of the project scope.
biggest onshore wind farm in Europe.
The agreement includes a full turbine
service and maintenance deal for 25
years.
The Önusberget onshore wind farm
in Sweden will have a generating ca-
pacity of 753 MW. Luxcara has
started infrastructure work, while GE
Renewable Energy aims to start de-
ploying the rst of the 137 Cypress
onshore wind turbines from July
2021. Each turbine has a capacity of
5.5 MW and a rotor of 158 m.
The turbine blades will include an
ice mitigation system to ensure re-
duced downtime and a stable level
of availability.
Hitachi ABB Power Grids has won an
order from the 3.6 GW Dogger Bank
Wind Farm in the UK to connect the
third transmission link from the
world’s largest offshore wind farm to
the UK mainland, a distance of more
than 130 km.
This contract extends the ongoing
delivery of Dogger Bank A and B to
include C1. The contract is subject to
nancial close of the third phase of
Dogger Bank Wind Farm, currently
scheduled for late 2021.
Dogger Bank Wind Farm is a 50-
50 joint venture between SSE Re-
newables and Equinor. Hitachi ABB
Power Grids will supply it HVDC
Light technology, enabling electrici-
ty transmission and dynamic integra-
tion of the offshore wind farm to the
onshore grid.
Niklas Persson, Managing Direc-
tor of Hitachi ABB Power Grids’
Grid Integration Business, said: “We
are playing a key role in accelerat-
ing the energy transition. HVDC
technology signicantly contributes
towards a carbon-neutral energy fu-
ture by enabling the integration of
large-scale and remote renewable
energy generation.”
EDF Renewables and its Belgian part-
ner Windvision secured a 226 MW
project in France’s latest tender for
onshore wind turbine capacity in early
February.
The Mont des Quatre Faux project
will be located near Rethel, in the
Ardennes department of France’s
Grand Est region. The power com-
plex will cost around €250 million
($300 million). EDF said that the
project was authorised last year by
the Administrative Court of
Chalons-en-Champagne, but it is
currently being challenged in the
administrative court of appeal. A -
nal investment decision is expected
in 2022.
Enel Green Power, a subsidiary of
Enel, has awarded the Nordex Group
an order for seven N133 turbines for
a wind farm in Italy. The turbines will
be installed at a 30 MW wind farm in
the Basilicata region in southern Italy.
The contract also includes a service
contract for the turbines for an initial
two-year contract.
Construction of the wind farm is
scheduled to start at the beginning of
2022, with completion shortly after.
ScottishPower Renewables has se-
lected Siemens Gamesa as the pre-
ferred bidder to supply and install
14+MW wind turbines for its £6.5
Siemens Energy has signed an agree-
ment with TC Energy of Canada to
commission a novel waste heat-to-
power pilot installation in Alberta.
The facility will capture waste heat
from a gas red turbine operating at
a pipeline compression station and
convert it into electricity, which will
be put into the grid.
As part of the agreement, Siemens
Energy will build, own, and operate
the facility, with the option for own-
ership to be transferred back to TC
Energy. The patented technology is
based on an advanced Rankine Cy-
cle and uses supercritical CO
2
(sCO
2
) as the working uid. Be-
cause of its properties, sCO
2
can in-
teract more directly with the heat
source than water/steam, eliminat-
ing the need for a secondary ther-
mal loop.
Benets include a 25-40 per cent
smaller footprint than steam-based
systems, a 10 per cent increase in
compressor station efciency, and
because the working uid is con-
tained within a closed-loop system,
no boiler operator is required, mak-
ing the system suitable for remote
operation.
The pilot project is supported by
$8 million in funding from Emis-
sions Reduction Alberta’s Industrial
Efciency Challenge. The new fa-
cility is scheduled to be commis-
sioned by the end of 2022.
Colorado Springs Utilities has award-
ed GE with an order for six LM2500X-
PRESS gas turbine packages to help
it power the downtown area of Colo-
rado Springs until a new transmission
line is completed in 2025.
Colorado Springs Utilities has
committed to retiring the coal red
Martin Drake Power Plant by the
end of 2022. The LM2500XPRESS
units will allow the uility to steadily
reduce emissions by at least 80 per
cent by 2030, from 2005 levels.
The 34 MW LM2500XPRESS
units are the rst of their kind to be
installed in North America and are
expected to start commercial opera-
tion by summer 2022.
Aram Benyamin, CEO of Colorado
Springs Utilities, said: “The units
were purchased to provide safe, af-
fordable, and reliable generation to
support the increased use of renew-
able solar and wind power. These
natural gas units will help us better
integrate renewable energy sources,
further reduce CO
2
emissions, and
accelerate the retirement of the Mar-
tin Drake Power Plant.”
A contract to provide an energy stor-
age system for the 50 MW Eolica
Coromuel (ECO) wind farm in La Paz,
Mexico has been awarded to Wärtsilä.
The energy storage system is designed
to deliver 10 MW. Wärtsilä is also
providing a long-term service agree-
ment, including maintenance, spare
parts, repairs, remote monitoring and
performance guarantees.
ECO is owned by San Diego-based
Eurus Energy America Corporation,
the majority owner of which is the
Tokyo-based Toyota Tsusho Corpo-
ration. Eurus Energy America Cor-
poration is part of the Eurus Energy
Group.
The energy storage system will be
connected to the local grid operated
by the National Centre for Energy
Control (CENACE), Mexico’s inde-
pendent system operator.
Nick Henriksen, Vice President of
Eurus Energy America, said: “This
project will help Mexico meet its re-
newable energy goals, and efcient
energy storage is a key element for
its success. Mexico is to have 30 per
cent of energy generated by 2021,
and 35 per cent by 2024.”
Framatome has signed a contract to
upgrade a component of the instru-
mentation and control I(&C) system
for the two units at Exelon’s Calvert
Cliffs Nuclear Power Plant in Mary-
land, USA. The new component,
Framatome’s digital control element
drive control system (DCEDCS), pro-
vides simplied maintenance, stream-
lined system conguration, and over-
all operational reliability.
Framatome will provide design,
fabrication, assembly, documenta-
tion, installation, and testing for the
new DCEDCS at Calvert Cliffs
Units 1 and 2. The upgrade also in-
cludes cybersecurity solutions from
Framatome subsidiary FoxGuard So-
lutions and training simulator up-
grades from Framatome subsidiary
CORYS.
The 1800 MW Calvert Cliffs Nu-
clear Power Plant is located in Mary-
land, USA, and consists of two PWR
units.
California Energy & Power (CE&P)
has secured a contract to supply its
vertical-axis wind turbines to engi-
neering, procurement and construc-
tion (EPC) rm Hansei Corporation
for projects in the Philippines.
Initially, turbines will be installed
in strategic locations, with Hansei
planning to deploy the turbines
along a newly constructed express-
way to power lighting systems, sig-
nalling/protection and electric vehi-
cle charging stations.
The turbines will be combined with
solar arrays for maximum power
output in a small footprint. Califor-
nia Energy & Power is to begin ship-
ping the turbines this year.
Eurus Energy has selected ONYX In-
Sight to provide predictive mainte-
nance services on 33 wind turbines at
two wind farms in Japan – a total of
59 MW. The contract is for two years.
Under the terms of the contract,
ONYX InSight will use its ecoCMS
condition monitoring system to mon
-
itor drive train performance across
the wind farms. This will be coupled
with eetMONITOR to analyse the
performance and health data across
the turbines.
Noah Myrent, Global Head of
Monitoring, ONYX InSight, said:
“By adopting predictive mainte-
nance technologies, Eurus has posi-
tioned itself as a market leader in
Japanese wind. Eurus will benet
from being one step ahead in an in-
creasingly digital market, allowing
the company to better manage opera-
tional budgets and improve turbine
performance.”
German-based asset manager, Lux-
cara, has signed an agreement with
GE Renewable Energy to develop the
Americas
Asia-Pacic
Siemens Energy to demo
supercritical CO
2
turbine
Colorado Springs orders
six LM2500XPRESS GTs
Wärtsilä energy storage
for La Paz wind farm
Calvert Cliffs NPP to get
digital I&C upgrade
CE&P vertical-axis wind
turbine for Philippines
Turkey orders $20 million
transformer
GE supports China
coal-to-gas transition
Senegal to build 300 MW
CCGT plant
ONYX InSight to provide
predictive maintenance
GE to build Europe’s
biggest onshore wind farm
Hitachi ABB seals Dogger
Bank transmission deal
EDF and Windvision land
226 MW French project
Seven Nordex wind
turbines for Italy
East Anglia Hub to feature
14+MW turbines
International
International
Europe
10
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
Tenders, Bids & Contracts
G
rid edge is an evolving term
but today, generally refers to
the numerous technologies
between the grid and the demand
side. Driven by renewables and dis-
tributed energy resources (DERs), it
is an area where, arguably, the great-
est activity in the electricity sector is
taking place.
Certainly all grid edge technolo-
gies are essential in realising the en-
ergy transition but there are three el-
ements that are seen as key.
Maxine Ghavi, Head of Grid edge
Solutions at Hitachi ABB Power
Grids, commented: “In terms of spe-
cic technologies there are three
key areas that we focus on and be-
lieve are key enablers of the grid
edge. First, is power – battery stor-
age, for example. Next is automation
for exibility applications: how
you optimise the asset; how you max-
imise its value; how you manage the
different types and increasing num-
ber of DERs. And third, is digital:
things such as data analytics and ar-
ticial intelligence, and applications,
especially the cloud applications –
these have an impact from a technol-
ogy perspective and also have an im-
pact on the economics of an asset
and maximising its performance.”
These three components not only
help the grid operators and utilities
to address the challenges they are
seeing on the network as a result of
more renewables and DERs, but also
help them to maximise customer val-
ue, improve customer retention and
create new business opportunities.
“As you bring on more renewables
you need a much more exible sys-
tem, so exibility is key. And as you
bring on more assets, the next level
is optimisation,” she noted. “To have
exibility and optimisation, you can-
not look at any single challenge in
silo because you are now part of a
much bigger network.
This means that as renewables and
DERs grow, a much more complete
view of the electricity system is
needed. Ghavi explained: “Grid edge
technologies can be what happens at
the edge of the grid, what can hap-
pen behind the utility meter, or in
front of the meter. But because of the
way the transition is happening,
what happens behind the meter can
no longer stay behind the meter;
what happens at the edge can no lon-
ger stay there, so there has to be a
much more holistic view of looking
at the grid infrastructure and the ca-
pabilities we need to enable.”
While this does not call for a fun-
damental change in grid edge tech-
nologies in the near to medium term,
Ghavi believes existing technologies
will likely need to evolve and ex-
pand. “The physical assets layer is
going to become more complicated.
Today when we talk about electric
vehicles, the penetration is still very
small. And when you talk about en-
ergy storage and the global deploy-
ment of renewables, it’s still small.
But as those physical assets continue
to build up, the challenges will in-
crease. Plus you also have a growing
number of prosumers at the residen-
tial and commercial/industrial levels
making the system more dynamic,”
she said.
“So as this complexity increases, a
more comprehensive approach to
solving those problems becomes
more necessary. The power, automa-
tion and digital capabilities not only
help to address the challenges in the
network but also help utilities and
grid operators realise new business
opportunities.”
Looking at power specically,
Ghavi says the true value of grid
edge technologies such as smart bat-
teries, automation and energy man-
agement, however, is not necessarily
recognised if each of the enablers are
taken in isolation. It is when they are
integrated that the new possibilities
are realised.
Ghavi noted: “When solar was
[rst] deployed, it was about install-
ing it for self-consumption, and sell-
ing excess back to the grid. That has
evolved, especially when you bring
storage into play.”
She pointed to a project, which Hi-
tachi ABB Power Grids executed in
collaboration with Skagerak Energi
at Skagerak Arena in Skien, Norway,
as a good example of how grid edge
technologies such as solar and smart
batteries are being stacked to offer
new possibilities. The arena is home
to Odds football club, which initially
had the idea to use the roof of its sta-
dium “for something useful”. The
idea grew into a project that has seen
the soccer club become the greenest
soccer club in Europe.
As part of the ‘Skagerak Energi-
lab’, the entire rooftop of the stadi-
um was covered with 5700 m
2
of so-
lar modules, with a nominal power
of 800 kWp. An 800 kW/1MWh
PowerStore battery and energy man-
agement system ensures maximum
use of renewable power even when
there is low light to power the stadi-
um’s oodlights. But the soccer club
has gone further. It is combining its
solar and storage technology with a
microgrid to participate in the elec-
tricity market. And in addition to
providing the neighbourhood with
electricity, the project also allows
Skagerak Energi to collect insights
into how a prosumer system – where
consumers both produce and con-
sume electricity – operates under dif-
ferent conditions.
Ghavi added that the project is
also set up to use EVs in vehicle-to-
grid (V2G) applications. “It’s about
taking that value stacking to the next
level,” she said. With EV charging
becoming more of a requirement,
she also noted that this also has an
impact on the electricity system’s
complexity and reliability.
“Utilities are evolving and looking
at ways to retain customers by en-
abling services. But as the grid infra-
structure becomes more complex,
the expectation is that they still pro-
vide the same reliability and resilien-
cy. This is where exibility comes
in,” said Ghavi.
She cited the Energy Storage for
Commercial Renewables Integra-
tion, South Australia (ESCRI-SA)
Project, which the company execut-
ed for ElectraNet. Here the deploy-
ment of a PowerStore battery and e-
mesh control system reduced
outages from eight hours down to
30 minutes in the rst six months of
operation. It also improved network
reliability, reduced renewables cur-
tailment and lowered operating
costs.
If utilities are to accelerate the de-
ployment of these grid edge solu-
tions, continued policy support will
be crucial. Ghavi believes energy
storage is a game-changer – even
though it is no longer seen as a new
component – and says that the recog-
nition it is now beginning to receive
from policymakers will be “really
important”.
She said: “Deregulation of electric-
ity markets and increased penetra-
tion of variable renewables creates
an environment that is prime for the
accelerated deployment of storage.
So there has to be enabling policies
for both deregulation and renew-
ables. There also has to be enabling
policies that recognise storage as a
network asset that utilities can de-
ploy and leverage.”
Although the approach to policy
and the uptake of grid edge technol-
ogies varies from country to coun-
try, all are generally travelling in
the same direction. “Some are mov-
ing faster than others,” said Ghavi.
“Part of that is due to their local dy-
namics and needs, and the challeng-
es they are facing.”
Using the UK as an example, she
explained: “The UK is leading the
way in the energy transition be-
cause if you look at the increased
penetration of renewables, the UK
is doing fantastic. And there is a de-
regulated electricity market. This
has created a perfect environment
where a lot of companies – whether
technology companies, utilities or
service providers – see the UK as a
huge opportunity.”
North America and Australia were
cited as other examples where, al-
though the dynamics and grid infra-
structures are different, market de-
regulation and renewables are
driving storage.
Looking forward, Ghavi said that
while the energy sector will contin-
ue to build on existing solutions to
address the challenges and opportu-
nities of the energy transition, there
will be further innovation in the
grid edge space, especially in other
sectors.
“If you look at the electrication of
transport because of EVs, the electri-
cation of industry driven by heating
and process conversion, and the
electrication of buildings, they will
require additional innovation,” said
Ghavi. “There will also be additional
innovation around energy optimisa-
tion and digital. It’s about the future
being electric and this is nally be-
ing recognised. And as these three
sectors are electried and converge,
they will drive innovation in the
overall power systems.”
“There will also be innovation in
storage media, where technologies
that have been around for a long
time could become economically
viable in the mid- to long-term. But
no matter what is deployed in terms
of physical assets, things that we
are working on – for example in our
e-mesh portfolio and e-mesh appli-
cations – will still be relevant to
technologies that are coming down
the pipe.”
The move from centralised systems to a more decentralised set-up calls for innovation at the grid edge – where the
energy supply side, the grid, meets the demand side. Junior Isles speaks to Hitachi ABB Power Grid’s
Maxine Ghavi about what the key developments will be in the near to mid-term and the challenges that remain.
Developing the edge
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
13
Industry Perspective
Ghavi: It’s about the future
being electric and this is
nally being recognised
to offer better economics to the
driver and a better experience for the
passenger.”
The second challenge is nancing.
Although signicant green stimulus
is available, penetration varies from
country to country. The scope and
how nancing is deployed as stimu-
lus, says Colle, is also not aligned
with eet. “Regulators are not really
considering eet separately. For ex-
ample, onsite, on premise charging
infrastructure is obviously one of the
things that could be taken into ac-
count as well.”
Infrastructure and the challenge of
growing the number of charge points
is seen as the third big challenge.
Colle believes this is still “at the
heart” of accelerating eet and notes
that there is no “eet-centric deploy-
ment policy”, if there is any policy at
all. He said: “If you look at public
charging points, it’s haphazard. Either
it’s a private initiative or perhaps has
happened because licensing is avail-
able at a certain point where there is
high trafc density. It’s not necessar-
ily related to eet requirements or big
eets around the country.”
The digital interface is another key
issue to be addressed. This is about
putting the driver at the centre and
providing a seamless experience as
they visit various charging points.
Portugal’s EDP provides a good ex-
ample. The utility has a specic lease
platform, whereby it can optimise
many of the challenges that a lease
driver would encounter.
The fth and nal issue that needs to
be addressed is regulation. There has
to be cohesive regulation. The report
notes that “a strong mandate for
electrication will set a clear direc-
tion so that every participant in the
value chain can engage in joined-up
planning and investment”.
There is a sound business case for
eet electrication. According to the
report, about €350 billion per year is
being spent on new eet vehicles,
with their annual fuel costs being
€230 billion. Further, the market for
eet e-mobility services, including
new services such as exibility ser-
vices, is worth some €120 billion by
2030.
As drivers’ charging behaviour be-
comes better understood, and as the
ability to forecast load becomes more
sophisticated, network operators will
make more informed investment de-
cisions on future grid capacity. In
turn, the EVs themselves will become
part of a virtuous energy circle, pro-
viding short-term grid exibility via
smart charging vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
energy exchange.
Smart charging will shift power de-
mand to times of the day when renew-
able supply is high and power prices
low. V2G goes one step further and
enables the charged power to be
pushed back to the grid to balance
variations in energy production and
consumption.
The e4Future project is one recent
T
ransportation accounts for 25
per cent of the EU-27’s carbon
emissions, second only to the
electricity sector. It is therefore no
wonder the European Commission
sees the transport sector as central to
achieving its aim to be carbon neutral
by 2050.
To achieve its green deal target of
cutting carbon emissions by 90 per
cent by 2050, the European Commis-
sion says it will need almost all cars,
vans, buses and heavy duty vehicles
to be zero emissions by then.
The near-term aim is therefore to get
30 million zero emissions vehicles on
EU roads by 2030, along with the in-
stallation of 1 million charging points
by 2025 and 500 hydrogen fuelling
points by 2030.
One of the fastest ways to accelerate
the transition to an electric mobility
(e-mobility) future and decarbonised
transport sector is to scale electrica-
tion of eet vehicles. Some 63 million
vehicles are currently owned by eets
in the EU27 plus UK. And although
this is only 20 per cent of the total
number of vehicles – car, vans, buses
and trucks – they represent 40 per
cent of the kilometres driven and over
50 per cent of carbon emissions from
all vehicles.
The question, however, is how to
unlock this opportunity? This was
the main topic of discussion at the
recent online eVision conference or-
ganised by Eurelectric, the organisa-
tion that represents Europe’s electric
utilities. Eurelectric chose the event
to introduce a major report produced
in collaboration with EY that exam-
ines how to accelerate eet electri-
cation in Europe.
The report, which includes feedback
from European industry leaders
across automotive, utilities, oil and
gas, battery manufacturer, eet man-
agement, leasing and charging infra-
structure businesses, seeks not only to
understand how to exploit this op-
portunity but also to assess the busi-
ness case and how it can be aligned
with climate interests.
Presenting the report’s conclusions,
Serge Colle, EY’s Global Power and
Utilities Leader, said: “If we are to
reduce transportation emissions, it’s
very clear that we have to go after
eet rst. If we can make [the decar-
bonisation of] eets work it will be an
incredible accelerator for the transi-
tion that we seek in transportation.”
He also cited additional reasons for
tackling eet vehicles rst. Fleet ve-
hicles turnaround in typically 5-6
years compared to 10-12 years for the
average consumer car. “This means
that between now and 2030, in theory,
we have the opportunity to turnaround
the entire eet two times, so there are
two cycles still ahead of us.”
Fleet vehicles also offer a better
business case. As they do more kilo-
metres, Colle argues that they will
benet more from the lower cost of
ownership of EVs. “Low emission
zones, for example will drive the dif-
ferent eet owners to potentially
switch faster. Fleet vehicles also have
more predictable journeys. This
means you can better plan for the
needs of the new EV eets.
The report identies 11 different
eet types that each has its own
characteristics in terms of vehicle
type, driving patterns and economics
that need to be accounted for.
“These go from the very easy to
understand and easily addressable
company cars to the other extreme –
local transportation, which faces its
own challenges in terms of range and
vehicle types,” noted Colle. “But the
good news is, as we have been engag-
ing with the different eet owners to
try to understand the various eet
types, there’s a roadmap that we can
build for every one of those segments
which leads to acceleration of electri-
cation of the eet.”
The report claims that about 60 per
cent of the 63 million eet vehicles
are ready for acceleration to electri-
cation. Still, challenges remain even
with these eets. It identies ve
common problems that need to be
addressed.
The rst is the supply chain. Colle
explained that the right type of vehicle
has to be put in place. “There’s work
to be done to offer an even better ex-
perience. China offers a good exam-
ple, where DiDi, their equivalent of
Uber, is working with the car industry
to build a 7-seater taxi vehicle that has
no trunk and just one door at the kerb-
side. They are optimising the vehicle
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
Energy Outlook
14
Focusing on
electrifying eet
vehicles holds
the key to rapid
decarbonisation of
transport.
Junior Isles explains.
More than a eeting
More than a eeting
interest
interest
example of an initiative that aims to
show what is possible. Launched in
August last year it hopes to demon-
strate how electric vans and cars can
support the UK grid and provide a
protable and sustainable solution for
business eets.
As part of that work, in January
Nissan, E.On Drive and Imperial
College published a white paper that
explores how the bi-directional
charging capability of eet EVs not
only helps achieve the UK’s long
term climate goals but also could help
deliver overall power systems cost
savings of up to £885 million per year.
It also reveals that annual eet V2G
charging benets could range be-
tween £700-£1250 per vehicle.
Exploiting the synergies between
the European power and transport
sectors will help to unlock the com-
mercial, environmental and societal
value that e-mobility offers. The role
of system operators, however, is criti-
cal in the rollout of charging infra-
structure. They must ensure adequate
grid capacity to accommodate the
surge in drivers putting their EVs on
charge at the end of the working day,
without disrupting existing assets.
Speaking at the eVision conference,
Adina Valean European Commissioner
for Transport noted that the Commis-
sion also has to ensure that the electric-
ity grid is “up to the task” of accom-
modating the number of EVs and
charge points. She also said: “Obvi-
ously upgrading our infrastructure so
that it is t for a new era of mass market,
zero emissions, mobility comes with a
price tag. We are considering a budget
of at least €1.2 billion for the rst three
years of the Connecting Europe Facil-
ity programme.”
The EY/Eurelectric report calcu-
lates that installing the 3 million
charging points that will be needed by
2030 will require €20 billion. It is a
huge investment and an undertaking
that calls for broad collaboration.
Distribution system operators
(DSOs) will work alongside charge
point operators to connect charging
points to the grid. They will also work
with e-mobility service providers,
transmission system operators
(TSOs), EV users, businesses and
municipalities to make the grid
smarter and able to utilise all the ex-
ibility and storage options across the
distribution network.
“Looking at the complexity and the
enormity of the challenge – the need
for a 10 per cent year-on-year reduc-
tion in CO
2
for the next 10 years – it
can only be done if we build partner-
ships,” said Colle.
If this can be achieved, says the EY/
Eurelectric report, Europe stands “a
very good chance” of meeting its
2030 greenhouse gas emissions tar-
get. The bloc is certainly on the right
path – last year the EU passed China
for the rst time in terms of EVs sold.
As Colle put it: “This might be the
beginning of the real acceleration we
are looking for.”
Bi-directional charging
capability of eet EVs not only
supports long term climate
goals but could also help
deliver overall power system
cost savings
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
15
Technology Focus
The Haru Oni project
in Chile is gearing up
to demonstrate the
potential of synthetic
fuel production from
wind. Professor
Armin Schnettler
Synthetic fuels in the fast lane
Overview of Haru Oni process.
The project’s initial aim is to
demonstrate the production
process to show that this is a
viable technology solution
Prof. Schnettler: facilities
would tap into the vast under
utilised potential for renewable
energy
T
o achieve climate neutrality in
Europe, a 90 per cent reduc-
tion in transport emissions is
needed by 2050. To date, much of
the focus has been on electrication,
but the adoption of electric vehicles
(EVs) still needs time as well as a
fast expansion of the EV charging
infrastructure.
The EU’s ambitious carbon reduc-
tion targets will therefore require
technologies to bridge the gap until
electrication is mainstream. One of
the most promising technologies to
ll this gap is e-fuels. These are syn-
thetic fuels produced with electric
power from renewable energy sourc-
es, hydrogen, and carbon dioxide.
The hydrogen is made from water
via electrolysis, while the CO
2
can
be taken directly from the air or un-
avoidable industrial sources. In the
rst step, hydrogen and CO
2
are con-
verted into so-called e-methanol,
which is then processed into e-fuel in
another synthesis step.
One advantage that synthetic fuels
have over electrication is that they
can be used in existing petrol en-
gines and be distributed through the
existing lling station network.
However, synthetic fuels are primari-
ly produced from fossil sources such
as oil and natural gas. If these fuels
are synthesised from green hydrogen
and carbon dioxide from the air or
from unavoidable sources, sustain-
able fuel can be produced.
A vital step in this development is
taking place with a demonstration
project in Chile beginning the road
to a methanol future. Siemens Ener-
gy’s partners in this project are
AME and ENAP from Chile, Enel
from Italy, and Porsche.
Porsche has an obvious interest in
the technology. It is not just meeting
EU emission targets that make e-fu-
els attractive; synthetic fuels allow
classic cars to be driven with little or
no net CO
2
emissions. This is partic-
ularly important for prestige brands
such as Porsche. About 70 per cent
of all Porsche cars ever sold are still
on the road, and with synthetic fuels
these classic cars can be part of the
solution to lower emissions.
The core of the project, known as
Haru Oni, is located in the Ma-
gallanes Region south of mainland
Chile. When operational in 2022 it
will become the world’s rst com-
pletely integrated plant, producing
almost climate-neutral e-fuel from
wind energy. By 2026, it should be
producing more than one million
tons of e-methanol equivalent to over
half a billion litres of e-gasoline per
year. Because the production of e-fu-
els uses only renewable electricity
and as the combustion of the e-fuel
in the engine generates only as much
CO
2
as was taken from the air during
production, the entire production
chain is almost CO
2
neutral.
This four-stage process of turning
renewable energy into a synthetic
fuel suitable for existing engines is
complicated. Many have questioned
the economic viability of such a
strategy. Project lead at Siemens En-
ergy Markus Speith explained: “The
project’s initial aim in Chile is to
demonstrate the production process
to show that this is a viable technolo-
gy solution, we are planning to pro-
duce about 130 000 litres of e-fuel
per year. It will also conrm that
synthetic fuels produced here have
an exceptionally low environmental
impact. In the long term, we are
planning larger projects with much
higher production rates, and from
our initial calculations, the costs look
remarkably close to current fuel pric-
es if there is a reduced tax on CO
2
neutral fuels.”
Already the next phase of the proj-
ect will be at an industrial scale, and
this process is designed to be repli-
cated to increase e-fuel output by at
least a factor of ten for the next two
phases planning for the mentioned
550 million litres of e-fuel in 2026.
The hydrogen electrolyser is a mod-
ule, where, like a battery, modules
can be simply stacked to increase
output. Conventional industrial scale
methanol synthesis plants allow for
such sizes already.
For the demonstration project, a 3.4
MW Siemens Gamesa wind turbine
will be erected on the site. For phase
two, the wind farm will be expanded
to around 280 MW, and by the time
it reaches an industrial scale, it will
be 2.5 GW.
The Haru Oni project will initially
use a Silyzer electrolyser to convert
wind energy to hydrogen. Siemens
Energy has developed the Silyzer
portfolio family based on PEM tech-
nology. PEM takes its name from the
proton exchange membrane, which
is permeable to protons (H
+
) but tight
for gases and electrons. In other
words, this kind of membrane acts as
an electrical isolator between the an-
ode and cathode side as well as a
physical separator, preventing hydro-
gen and oxygen from remixing.
This method enables optimum ef-
ciency at high power densities and
good product gas quality even at
partial loads. The operation is low-
maintenance and reliable without
the use of chemicals or other for-
eign substances.
Multiple basic systems can be com-
bined into a PEM electrolysis net-
work in a higher performance class.
The scope includes an optional re-
cooling system, water treatment sys-
tem, power grid connection, and oth-
er associated equipment.
For the CO
2
that is combined with
the green hydrogen to produce e-
methanol, the project will use Global
Thermostats (GT) direct air capture
equipment. GT uses custom equip-
ment and proprietary dry amine-
based chemical sorbents that are
bonded to porous, honeycomb ce-
ramic monoliths that act together as
carbon sponges. These carbon
sponges efciently adsorb CO
2
di-
rectly from the atmosphere. The cap-
tured CO
2
is then stripped off and
collected using low-temperature
steam (85-100°C), ideally sourced
from residual or process heat at little
or no cost – the output results in 98
per cent pure CO
2
at standard tem-
perature and pressure. Only steam
and electricity are consumed during
the process, without the creation of
emissions or other efuents.
This technology represents a break-
through in the cost of Direct Air
Capture (DAC), so that at industrial
scale the Haru Oni project is expect-
ed to be economically viable. As
with other technologies, costs are
expected to continue to decrease
through learning by doing, enabling
DAC to play a prominent role in ad-
dressing the threat of climate change.
Although the pilot plant is making
use of carbon captured directly from
the air, there are other CO
2
sources
termed as “unavoidable CO
2
emis-
sions”. Not all emissions resulting
from industrial operations can be
avoided but all unavoidable emis-
sions can be compensated for and by
using these in the production of e-fu-
els they are carbon free according to
carbon calculations. This opens the
opportunity of co-locating future e-
fuel production facilities at industrial
sites that currently emit CO
2
.
Siemens Energy’s technology in-
volvement ends with the production
of the green methanol, which is then
passed to a methanol to gasoline
(MTG) plant. This uidised bed
MTG technology licensed and sup-
ported by ExxonMobil is a cost-ef-
fective solution to convert methanol
into fuels, which can be sold as-is or
blended with ethanol, methanol, or
petroleum renery stocks. This min-
imises offsite and logistic complexi-
ty and investment for synthetic fuel
distribution.
For Porsche, this demonstration
project paves the way to full the
German automakers low carbon
strategy. Marcos Marques, Project
Lead, at Porsche, explained: “Porsche
is collaborating with worldwide part-
ners to industrialise almost CO
2
-neu-
tral fuels. In the future, these are to
be made available competitively in
all markets. Our intention is not to
replace e-mobility, but to ank it ef-
fectively. This applies to all those ar-
eas and markets where the transfor-
mation of the trafc sector is
proceeding at a speed below the one
required to reach the Paris climate
targets.”
While the project’s location is not
ideal in terms of executing construc-
tion because it is very remote, it was
selected due to excellent wind condi-
tions in terms of wind speed and
availability. Also there is no other
way to harvest this clean energy and
move it to where it is needed.
For high wind locations in Europe,
it is arguable that this would not be
an efcient use of renewable energy
when there are many other options
available such as e-mobility. But in
Chile, as with other remote regions
of the world, there is a vast potential
for wind energy that otherwise
would not be harvested. It can easily
be converted into hydrogen but
transporting hydrogen over long dis-
tances is extremely expensive and
challenging. That sparked the idea of
transforming it into an e-fuel on-site
to make it easy to transport by tank-
ers. In the future, the tankers can run
with e-methanol on a CO
2
-neutral
basis.
Once the technology is proven at
an industrial scale and the economics
validated, the pathway is open to
building plants in various locations.
These could be in South America,
North America, the Middle East, Af-
rica, or Australia. These facilities
would tap into the vast under utilised
potential for renewable energy, both
wind and solar, to generate green e-
fuel to decarbonise the automotive
sector. But that is not all, the aviation
sector is searching for a zero-carbon
fuel, and aviation kerosene produced
from green methanol is another in-
triguing and valuable application.
Prof. Armin Schnettler is EVP New
Energy Business at Siemens Energy.
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY TIMES - MARCH 2021
16
Final Word
C
icero may not have had the
foresight or cunning to avoid
his beheading but energy com-
panies, grid operators and certainly
politicians around the world could still
learn a thing or two from the Roman
statesman. As Texans struggled to
keep warm with no electricity last
month, politicians were only too keen
to play political football with the pow-
er outages that recently crippled the
US state. But surely they must realise
there is a bigger game at stake?
In mid-February a winter storm
swept through the southern and
southwestern US and parts of Mexico
leaving millions without access to
electricity, heat, and water. Despite
rolling blackouts imposed by the
Electricity Reliability Council of
Texas (Ercot) and the Southwest
Power Pool (SPP) grid operator, some
residents of Texas went without
power and heat for over 30 hours in
sub-zero temperatures.
While observers from around the
world may believe that “couldn’t
happen here”, events in Texas demon-
strate why preparedness now has to be
taken to the next level.
The connection between Texas’
nickname and its grid has not gone
unnoticed when citing reasons for the
catastrophe. The ‘Lone Star’ state,
proud of its go-it-alone spirit, took the
decision decades ago to remain iso-
lated from the grids of other states so
that it would not be under the jurisdic-
tion of federal energy regulators. It is
a decision that has now come back to
bite. Not being able to wheel power in
from across state lines, however, was
only part of the problem.
Initially, fossil fuel lobbyists
blamed renewables for the disaster.
Dan Brouillette, an energy secretary
under the Trump administration, said:
“We’ve moved away from that to a
more intermittent and frankly some-
times less reliable form of energy in
the sense of wind and solar,” Brouil-
lette said on Bloomberg Television.
“We’ve got to address this very
squarely and have a very honest
conversation about renewable energy
in America.”
Texas has the largest amount of in-
stalled wind power capacity in the US
and, according to Ercot, some 16 GW
was forced ofine because of ice in the
west and along the Gulf of Mexico
coast. Ercot noted, however, that this
gure exaggerates the amount of wind
lost relative to expected output. In a
seasonal resource assessment pub-
lished in November, Ercot foresaw
Texas wind farms operating at between
19 per cent and 43 per cent of rated
capacity, providing 6.1 GW of power.
With Texas experiencing a shortfall
of 45 GW out of a total 83 GW at the
start of winter, singling out wind as
the problem is a red herring. Dan
Woodn, Ercot’s Senior Director of
market operations noted that thermal
power units, which run on natural gas,
coal and nuclear fuel, accounted for
slightly less than 30 GW of the capac-
ity out of service.
In an interview with Bloomberg,
Jason Bordoff, Founding Director of
the Columbia Center on Global En-
ergy Policy, pointed out that while it
was true that wind output was down,
it was also true that most of the lost
electricity generation forcing outages
came from gas and coal, because
pipelines and valves were freezing
along with coal piles.
In a separate interview with CNN
he stressed that no single energy
source was to blame. “The extreme
cold is causing the entire system to
freeze up,” he said. “All sources of
energy are underperforming in the
extreme cold because they’re not
designed to handle these unusual
conditions.”
Clearly, all generating sources were
impacted, and debating which energy
source was at fault is a distraction
from the bigger issue – are power
companies and other critical infra-
structure owners making adequate
preparations for climate change?
Writing for CNN, atmospheric sci-
entist Adam Sobel from Lamont-
Doherty Earth Observatory noted that
icy disasters such as this are often
cited as evidence against the reality of
climate change. While, he says that
“the scientic consensus on human-
induced global warming has never
meant the permanent end of winter or
of deadly cold snaps”, he goes on to
explain that scientists are still debating
how climate change affects the fre-
quency and severity of cold snaps.
Sobel describes one way that it could
make them more common. He theo-
rised that warming in the Arctic
weakens the jet stream, making it
wavier. “If the jet bends all the way to
the Gulf of Mexico, it brings Arctic air
with it in what is also called the polar
vortex,” he said.
Yutian Wu, an Associate Research
Professor at Lamont-Doherty Earth
Observatory, lends credence to such
polar vortex phenomena. In 2019, she
used climate modelling to show that
decreases in sea ice in the Barents and
Kara seas could weaken the jet
stream, allowing frigid air to break
out of the Arctic.
While scientists are still deciphering
the relationships between climate
change and cold snaps, one thing is
clear: the increasing frequency and
severity of heat waves, wildres, hur-
ricanes, and other extreme weather,
will continue to stress electricity grids.
In the wake of the US outage, an
investigation ordered by Texas Gov-
ernor, Greg Abbott, is underway that
will among other things look at how
generators bolster their plants against
extreme weather.
Woodn said that winterisation
practices put in place after a 2011
freeze would be reviewed. “We’ll
denitely go in and work with genera-
tion entities... and try to beef-up that
plan to be able to handle what we
understand to be more extreme
weather,” he said.
Cold weather kits common in more
northerly states have historically not
been necessary in Texas’s warmer
climate, and will come at a signicant
cost. Some kits can add about $150
000 to the cost of a turbine, said a
banker involved in energy projects.
Yet this pales against the economic
cost of major blackouts, not to mention
the cost of human lives.
US President Joe Biden could make
use of the crisis to push for “historic
investment” in the nation’s grid, in-
cluding better transmission systems
and battery storage that would make
the system more resilient amid ex-
treme weather spurred by climate
change.
The crisis should certainly give
other nations pause for thought as the
energy transition moves along at a
pace that needs to be ahead of irre-
versible climate change.
All countries should note that an
unreliable power system puts the en-
ergy transition at risk. Randy Bell,
Director of the Global Energy Center
and the Richard Morningstar Chair for
Global Energy Security at the Atlantic
Council, said: “Produce clean power,
the thinking goes, electrify as much as
possible, and we can cut out a large
chunk of greenhouse gas emissions.
But if the grid is not reliable and resil-
ient... one wonders how many people
will actually choose electric vehicles,
electric heat, and electric cooking.”
The World Energy Council’s 2020
Issues Monitor – a survey of over
3000 responses from energy leaders
in 104 countries as well as 550 re-
sponses from individual energy users
in 50 countries – identied the major
trends and topics impacting the en-
ergy transition. It found that although
the climate framework issue receives
priority attention in all countries,
uncertainty remains around the im-
pact of intensifying extreme weather
events and the need to adopt climate
adaptation and mitigation measures.
Countries with greater exposure to
extreme weather events show more
concern about the pace of climate but
there has to be wider concern over the
pace of collective global actions.
Texas should be a lesson to owners
and operators of critical infrastructure
all over the world. It is no longer suf-
cient to describe events in California
and Texas as “unprecedented” and
expect that to be sufcient to placate
citizens left freezing in the dark. It is
time for utilities to adjust their models
to account for new precedents.
Moreover, politicians must stop us-
ing energy policy to score goals. As
Cicero once said: “Let us not go over
old ground. Let us rather prepare for
what is to come.” Building resilience
is key. Be prepared for extremes.
As Oscar Wilde put it: “To expect
the unexpected shows a thoroughly
modern intellect.”
Expect the unexpected
Junior Isles
Cartoon: jemsoar.com